Latest National Weather Service guidance for Houston indicates a high temperature around 75°F on May 2, positioning the 74-75°F (40.5%) and 76-77°F (30%) outcomes as market leaders, as trader consensus aggregates real-money bets on cloudy skies and onshore flow from a nearby low-pressure system capping highs 7-10°F below the early May climatological normal of 82-83°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Updated GFS and ECMWF model runs over the past 24 hours have converged on this cooler profile amid a stalled frontal boundary introducing mid-level clouds and isolated showers, reducing probabilities for 80°F+ scenarios to under 10%. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists with ensemble spreads of ±3°F; watch for NWS's next 12Z discussion and model refresh early May 1 for potential shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 2 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 2 de mayo?
74-75°F 42%
76-77°F 30%
72-73°F 18%
70-71°F 5.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
69°F o menos
2%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
42%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F o más
<1%
74-75°F 42%
76-77°F 30%
72-73°F 18%
70-71°F 5.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
69°F o menos
$2,818 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$218 Vol.
6%
72-73°F
$162 Vol.
18%
74-75°F
$437 Vol.
42%
76-77°F
$188 Vol.
30%
78-79°F
$97 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$75 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$288 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$370 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$509 Vol.
1%
88°F o más
$1,479 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Houston indicates a high temperature around 75°F on May 2, positioning the 74-75°F (40.5%) and 76-77°F (30%) outcomes as market leaders, as trader consensus aggregates real-money bets on cloudy skies and onshore flow from a nearby low-pressure system capping highs 7-10°F below the early May climatological normal of 82-83°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Updated GFS and ECMWF model runs over the past 24 hours have converged on this cooler profile amid a stalled frontal boundary introducing mid-level clouds and isolated showers, reducing probabilities for 80°F+ scenarios to under 10%. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists with ensemble spreads of ±3°F; watch for NWS's next 12Z discussion and model refresh early May 1 for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$6,341Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Houston indicates a high temperature around 75°F on May 2, positioning the 74-75°F (40.5%) and 76-77°F (30%) outcomes as market leaders, as trader consensus aggregates real-money bets on cloudy skies and onshore flow from a nearby low-pressure system capping highs 7-10°F below the early May climatological normal of 82-83°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Updated GFS and ECMWF model runs over the past 24 hours have converged on this cooler profile amid a stalled frontal boundary introducing mid-level clouds and isolated showers, reducing probabilities for 80°F+ scenarios to under 10%. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists with ensemble spreads of ±3°F; watch for NWS's next 12Z discussion and model refresh early May 1 for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,341Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for Houston indicates a high temperature around 75°F on May 2, positioning the 74-75°F (40.5%) and 76-77°F (30%) outcomes as market leaders, as trader consensus aggregates real-money bets on cloudy skies and onshore flow from a nearby low-pressure system capping highs 7-10°F below the early May climatological normal of 82-83°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Updated GFS and ECMWF model runs over the past 24 hours have converged on this cooler profile amid a stalled frontal boundary introducing mid-level clouds and isolated showers, reducing probabilities for 80°F+ scenarios to under 10%. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists with ensemble spreads of ±3°F; watch for NWS's next 12Z discussion and model refresh early May 1 for potential shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes