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Approval predictions & odds

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Trump approval rating on May 1?

Trump approval rating on May 1?

55%

39.5–39.9

$33.8K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

How low will Trump's approval rating go in April?

How low will Trump's approval rating go in April?

1%

37.0%

$35.2K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

1

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

35%

35%

$69.3K Vol.

$22.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

40%

Up

$136 Vol.

$239 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

56%

Up

$2.2K Vol.

$185 Liq.

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

93%

Up

$2.3K Vol.

$47 Liq.

4

Trump approval rating on May 8?

Trump approval rating on May 8?

35%

<39.0

$4 Vol.

$591 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

50%

Up

$106 Vol.

$1 Liq.

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

49%

↑ 49%

$4.5K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How low will Trump's approval rating go by end of May?

How low will Trump's approval rating go by end of May?

52%

38.5%

$62 Vol.

$130 Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

80%

Civilian Service Act

$47.0K Vol.

$45.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

2%

$45.6K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

99%

Gianni Infantino

$1.0K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 30 days

FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?

FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?

83%

$516 Vol.

$207 Liq.

Ends in 17 days

FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

46%

$4.9K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?

8%

$1.2K Vol.

$347 Liq.

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

98%

April 30

$29.2K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 30 days

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

23%

$563K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

36%

Canada

$260K Vol.

$150K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?

15%

$2.1K Vol.

$123 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 149 active markets for Approval that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump approval rating on May 1?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “FDA approves Retatrutide this year?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 77% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Approval predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.