Swiss voters will decide on June 14 in a federal referendum on two proposals: the Swiss People's Party's popular initiative "No to a Switzerland of 10 million," seeking to cap the permanent resident population at 10 million by 2050 to address immigration pressures and sustainability concerns, and a parliamentary counter-proposal to impose stricter requirements on civilian service for conscientious objectors, aiming to equalize it with military service obligations. Late April polls from Tamedia and 20 Minutes show a slim 52% majority favoring the population cap, though passage requires both a popular majority and approval by a majority of the 26 cantons, amid strong opposition from the Federal Council, business groups, and French-speaking cantons that united against it on April 27. The civilian service reform polls with broader support. Campaign momentum and final surveys could shift outcomes in Switzerland's direct democracy system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSwitzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?
Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?
$46,736 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
Civilian Service Act
75%
No to ten million Switzerland
39%
$46,736 Vol.
Civilian Service Act
$3,811 Vol.
75%
No to ten million Switzerland
$42,925 Vol.
39%
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on June 14, 2026 :
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Swiss voters will decide on June 14 in a federal referendum on two proposals: the Swiss People's Party's popular initiative "No to a Switzerland of 10 million," seeking to cap the permanent resident population at 10 million by 2050 to address immigration pressures and sustainability concerns, and a parliamentary counter-proposal to impose stricter requirements on civilian service for conscientious objectors, aiming to equalize it with military service obligations. Late April polls from Tamedia and 20 Minutes show a slim 52% majority favoring the population cap, though passage requires both a popular majority and approval by a majority of the 26 cantons, amid strong opposition from the Federal Council, business groups, and French-speaking cantons that united against it on April 27. The civilian service reform polls with broader support. Campaign momentum and final surveys could shift outcomes in Switzerland's direct democracy system.
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on June 14, 2026 :
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$46,736End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on June 14, 2026 :
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Swiss voters will decide on June 14 in a federal referendum on two proposals: the Swiss People's Party's popular initiative "No to a Switzerland of 10 million," seeking to cap the permanent resident population at 10 million by 2050 to address immigration pressures and sustainability concerns, and a parliamentary counter-proposal to impose stricter requirements on civilian service for conscientious objectors, aiming to equalize it with military service obligations. Late April polls from Tamedia and 20 Minutes show a slim 52% majority favoring the population cap, though passage requires both a popular majority and approval by a majority of the 26 cantons, amid strong opposition from the Federal Council, business groups, and French-speaking cantons that united against it on April 27. The civilian service reform polls with broader support. Campaign momentum and final surveys could shift outcomes in Switzerland's direct democracy system.
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on June 14, 2026 :
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Volume
$46,736End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Swiss voters will decide on June 14 in a federal referendum on two proposals: the Swiss People's Party's popular initiative "No to a Switzerland of 10 million," seeking to cap the permanent resident population at 10 million by 2050 to address immigration pressures and sustainability concerns, and a parliamentary counter-proposal to impose stricter requirements on civilian service for conscientious objectors, aiming to equalize it with military service obligations. Late April polls from Tamedia and 20 Minutes show a slim 52% majority favoring the population cap, though passage requires both a popular majority and approval by a majority of the 26 cantons, amid strong opposition from the Federal Council, business groups, and French-speaking cantons that united against it on April 27. The civilian service reform polls with broader support. Campaign momentum and final surveys could shift outcomes in Switzerland's direct democracy system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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