President Donald Trump's approval rating plunged to second-term lows in late April 2026, hitting 32% in an American Research Group poll (April 16-20) and 34% in Reuters/Ipsos surveys, the primary drivers of trader sentiment on this market. Surging gas prices and cost-of-living pressures from the ongoing U.S. war with Iran have eroded economic approval to 23-31%, per Emerson and CNN polls, with independents and even GOP support declining sharply. No rebound materialized amid midterm concerns, as AP-NORC and NBC data confirmed mid-30s figures. Markets now hinge on finalized April polling averages for resolution, with no scheduled events to shift the lowest reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$33,959 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
38.5%
1%
38.0%
1%
37.5%
1%
37.0%
1%
$33,959 Vol.
38.5%
$10,501 Vol.
1%
38.0%
$4,563 Vol.
1%
37.5%
$2,608 Vol.
1%
37.0%
$9,520 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.President Donald Trump's approval rating plunged to second-term lows in late April 2026, hitting 32% in an American Research Group poll (April 16-20) and 34% in Reuters/Ipsos surveys, the primary drivers of trader sentiment on this market. Surging gas prices and cost-of-living pressures from the ongoing U.S. war with Iran have eroded economic approval to 23-31%, per Emerson and CNN polls, with independents and even GOP support declining sharply. No rebound materialized amid midterm concerns, as AP-NORC and NBC data confirmed mid-30s figures. Markets now hinge on finalized April polling averages for resolution, with no scheduled events to shift the lowest reading.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$33,959End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.President Donald Trump's approval rating plunged to second-term lows in late April 2026, hitting 32% in an American Research Group poll (April 16-20) and 34% in Reuters/Ipsos surveys, the primary drivers of trader sentiment on this market. Surging gas prices and cost-of-living pressures from the ongoing U.S. war with Iran have eroded economic approval to 23-31%, per Emerson and CNN polls, with independents and even GOP support declining sharply. No rebound materialized amid midterm concerns, as AP-NORC and NBC data confirmed mid-30s figures. Markets now hinge on finalized April polling averages for resolution, with no scheduled events to shift the lowest reading.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Volume
$33,959End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's approval rating plunged to second-term lows in late April 2026, hitting 32% in an American Research Group poll (April 16-20) and 34% in Reuters/Ipsos surveys, the primary drivers of trader sentiment on this market. Surging gas prices and cost-of-living pressures from the ongoing U.S. war with Iran have eroded economic approval to 23-31%, per Emerson and CNN polls, with independents and even GOP support declining sharply. No rebound materialized amid midterm concerns, as AP-NORC and NBC data confirmed mid-30s figures. Markets now hinge on finalized April polling averages for resolution, with no scheduled events to shift the lowest reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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