Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Up" for Keir Starmer's approval at over 90% probability, driven by YouGov's April 20, 2026 tracker data point showing 22% of all adults rating him as doing well as Prime Minister—surpassing the March 23 baseline of 21%. This marginal gain, amid otherwise stagnant net favourability at -45 and government approval near -47, reflects no major adverse events like leadership challenges or policy reversals in late April. Stable Westminster voting intention polls (Reform UK leading at 26%, Labour at 18%) and upcoming May 7 local elections maintain pressure, but the tracker's first April reading secures resolution barring an unlikely pre-deadline revision. Late-breaking polls or scandals could theoretically shift odds, though traders see minimal risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUp
$2,284 Vol.
$2,284 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Up
$2,284 Vol.
$2,284 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister was 21% as of March 23, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Up" for Keir Starmer's approval at over 90% probability, driven by YouGov's April 20, 2026 tracker data point showing 22% of all adults rating him as doing well as Prime Minister—surpassing the March 23 baseline of 21%. This marginal gain, amid otherwise stagnant net favourability at -45 and government approval near -47, reflects no major adverse events like leadership challenges or policy reversals in late April. Stable Westminster voting intention polls (Reform UK leading at 26%, Labour at 18%) and upcoming May 7 local elections maintain pressure, but the tracker's first April reading secures resolution barring an unlikely pre-deadline revision. Late-breaking polls or scandals could theoretically shift odds, though traders see minimal risk.
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister was 21% as of March 23, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$2,284End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister was 21% as of March 23, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Up" for Keir Starmer's approval at over 90% probability, driven by YouGov's April 20, 2026 tracker data point showing 22% of all adults rating him as doing well as Prime Minister—surpassing the March 23 baseline of 21%. This marginal gain, amid otherwise stagnant net favourability at -45 and government approval near -47, reflects no major adverse events like leadership challenges or policy reversals in late April. Stable Westminster voting intention polls (Reform UK leading at 26%, Labour at 18%) and upcoming May 7 local elections maintain pressure, but the tracker's first April reading secures resolution barring an unlikely pre-deadline revision. Late-breaking polls or scandals could theoretically shift odds, though traders see minimal risk.
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister was 21% as of March 23, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.
This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Volume
$2,284End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Up" for Keir Starmer's approval at over 90% probability, driven by YouGov's April 20, 2026 tracker data point showing 22% of all adults rating him as doing well as Prime Minister—surpassing the March 23 baseline of 21%. This marginal gain, amid otherwise stagnant net favourability at -45 and government approval near -47, reflects no major adverse events like leadership challenges or policy reversals in late April. Stable Westminster voting intention polls (Reform UK leading at 26%, Labour at 18%) and upcoming May 7 local elections maintain pressure, but the tracker's first April reading secures resolution barring an unlikely pre-deadline revision. Late-breaking polls or scandals could theoretically shift odds, though traders see minimal risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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