President Trump's approval rating has plunged to the lowest levels of his second term, with Reuters/Ipsos and AP-NORC polls from late April 2026 showing 34-36% approval amid voter backlash over the escalating war with Iran and resulting spikes in gas prices and cost-of-living pressures. Polling averages, including Nate Silver's at 39% approve versus 58% disapprove, reflect a net rating near -19 points, down from March figures around 40%, as economic handling draws particular criticism despite pockets of suburban support. Key factors include ongoing military actions in Iran without clear de-escalation, inflation trends, and pre-midterm dynamics; upcoming economic reports, diplomatic developments, or policy shifts could push ratings lower or stabilize them before November 2026 elections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$69,308 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has plunged to the lowest levels of his second term, with Reuters/Ipsos and AP-NORC polls from late April 2026 showing 34-36% approval amid voter backlash over the escalating war with Iran and resulting spikes in gas prices and cost-of-living pressures. Polling averages, including Nate Silver's at 39% approve versus 58% disapprove, reflect a net rating near -19 points, down from March figures around 40%, as economic handling draws particular criticism despite pockets of suburban support. Key factors include ongoing military actions in Iran without clear de-escalation, inflation trends, and pre-midterm dynamics; upcoming economic reports, diplomatic developments, or policy shifts could push ratings lower or stabilize them before November 2026 elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$69,308End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has plunged to the lowest levels of his second term, with Reuters/Ipsos and AP-NORC polls from late April 2026 showing 34-36% approval amid voter backlash over the escalating war with Iran and resulting spikes in gas prices and cost-of-living pressures. Polling averages, including Nate Silver's at 39% approve versus 58% disapprove, reflect a net rating near -19 points, down from March figures around 40%, as economic handling draws particular criticism despite pockets of suburban support. Key factors include ongoing military actions in Iran without clear de-escalation, inflation trends, and pre-midterm dynamics; upcoming economic reports, diplomatic developments, or policy shifts could push ratings lower or stabilize them before November 2026 elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$69,308End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating has plunged to the lowest levels of his second term, with Reuters/Ipsos and AP-NORC polls from late April 2026 showing 34-36% approval amid voter backlash over the escalating war with Iran and resulting spikes in gas prices and cost-of-living pressures. Polling averages, including Nate Silver's at 39% approve versus 58% disapprove, reflect a net rating near -19 points, down from March figures around 40%, as economic handling draws particular criticism despite pockets of suburban support. Key factors include ongoing military actions in Iran without clear de-escalation, inflation trends, and pre-midterm dynamics; upcoming economic reports, diplomatic developments, or policy shifts could push ratings lower or stabilize them before November 2026 elections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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