Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the 37-40% range as of mid-June 2026, with net approval at or near second-term lows amid widespread dissatisfaction with economic conditions. Traders are monitoring sustained weakness on inflation and the cost of living, where approval has fallen to new lows, alongside majority views that U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict was the wrong decision. Additional pressure stems from Senate confirmation fights over controversial cabinet nominees and eroding support among independents and younger voters. With midterm elections set for November, further shifts in congressional control, legislative outcomes, or foreign-policy developments could influence subsequent monthly readings and the depth of any further decline through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$83,057 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
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$83,057 Vol.
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$52,194 Vol.
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$6,392 Vol.
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$2,146 Vol.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the 37-40% range as of mid-June 2026, with net approval at or near second-term lows amid widespread dissatisfaction with economic conditions. Traders are monitoring sustained weakness on inflation and the cost of living, where approval has fallen to new lows, alongside majority views that U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict was the wrong decision. Additional pressure stems from Senate confirmation fights over controversial cabinet nominees and eroding support among independents and younger voters. With midterm elections set for November, further shifts in congressional control, legislative outcomes, or foreign-policy developments could influence subsequent monthly readings and the depth of any further decline through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$83,057End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the 37-40% range as of mid-June 2026, with net approval at or near second-term lows amid widespread dissatisfaction with economic conditions. Traders are monitoring sustained weakness on inflation and the cost of living, where approval has fallen to new lows, alongside majority views that U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict was the wrong decision. Additional pressure stems from Senate confirmation fights over controversial cabinet nominees and eroding support among independents and younger voters. With midterm elections set for November, further shifts in congressional control, legislative outcomes, or foreign-policy developments could influence subsequent monthly readings and the depth of any further decline through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$83,057End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the 37-40% range as of mid-June 2026, with net approval at or near second-term lows amid widespread dissatisfaction with economic conditions. Traders are monitoring sustained weakness on inflation and the cost of living, where approval has fallen to new lows, alongside majority views that U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict was the wrong decision. Additional pressure stems from Senate confirmation fights over controversial cabinet nominees and eroding support among independents and younger voters. With midterm elections set for November, further shifts in congressional control, legislative outcomes, or foreign-policy developments could influence subsequent monthly readings and the depth of any further decline through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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