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Politics·Approval

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

icon for UK Government approval Up or Down this week?
Politics·Approval

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

Apr 6

Apr 6

Up

50% chance
Polymarket

$106 Vol.

Up

50% chance
Polymarket

$106 Vol.

According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of March 30, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.Trader consensus on UK government approval holds at even odds for an uptick this week, reflecting stable but deeply negative ratings amid mixed polling signals. Latest YouGov data from 27 April shows 15% approval and 67% disapproval (net around -52%), while Starmer's net favourability remains -45, unchanged from March. Voting intention polls, including YouGov's 26-27 April (Labour 18%, up 2 points) and Find Out Now's 29-30 April (17%), indicate slight Labour recovery against Reform UK's lead, balancing entrenched unpopularity from budget fallout and leadership speculation. Absent major catalysts, odds stay competitive; new opinion polls, economic data, or local election previews ahead of May could tip toward up or down movement.

According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of March 30, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval).

This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.

This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.

This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.

Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Volume
$106
End Date
Apr 6, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of March 30, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of March 30, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.Trader consensus on UK government approval holds at even odds for an uptick this week, reflecting stable but deeply negative ratings amid mixed polling signals. Latest YouGov data from 27 April shows 15% approval and 67% disapproval (net around -52%), while Starmer's net favourability remains -45, unchanged from March. Voting intention polls, including YouGov's 26-27 April (Labour 18%, up 2 points) and Find Out Now's 29-30 April (17%), indicate slight Labour recovery against Reform UK's lead, balancing entrenched unpopularity from budget fallout and leadership speculation. Absent major catalysts, odds stay competitive; new opinion polls, economic data, or local election previews ahead of May could tip toward up or down movement.

According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of March 30, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval).

This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published.

This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.

This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.

Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Volume
$106
End Date
Apr 6, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of March 30, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UK Government approval Up or Down this week?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether UK Government approval Up or Down this week?'s price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 50% for "Up." A price of 50% means the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live UK Government approval Up or Down this week? price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"UK Government approval Up or Down this week?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "UK Government approval Up or Down this week?," decide whether you believe UK Government approval Up or Down this week?'s price at noon ET on April 5 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than UK Government approval Up or Down this week?'s price at noon ET on April 1. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

The current probability for "UK Government approval Up or Down this week?" is 50% for "Up," meaning the Polymarket crowd currently assigns a 50% chance that UK Government approval Up or Down this week?'s price will finish up over this daily window. These odds update in real-time as traders react to live UK Government approval Up or Down this week? price data. Over a full day, odds reflect evolving sentiment as the day's price action unfolds. Check back frequently or trade now before the window closes.

The "UK Government approval Up or Down this week?" market resolves based on a comparison of UK Government approval Up or Down this week?'s price at noon ET on April 5 versus noon ET on April 1, using Binance UK-GOVERNMENT-APPROVAL/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the April 5 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.