Current forecast models from the Met Office and European ensembles indicate overnight lows in London near 10–12°C on June 11, driven by a mix of broken cloud, moderate southwesterly winds, and residual moisture that limit radiative cooling under clear skies. These conditions follow a cooler-than-average early June pattern influenced by a southward-shifted jet stream and Atlantic low-pressure systems, keeping minimum temperatures close to seasonal normals rather than allowing stronger nocturnal drops. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind speed, which differentiate the tightly contested 10°C and 11°C outcomes in trader sentiment while rendering sub-9°C or 13°C+ scenarios less likely absent major model shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on June 11?
11°C 40%
10°C 34%
9°C 4.9%
12°C 4%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
5%
10°C
34%
11°C
40%
12°C
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 40%
10°C 34%
9°C 4.9%
12°C 4%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
5%
10°C
34%
11°C
40%
12°C
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Met Office and European ensembles indicate overnight lows in London near 10–12°C on June 11, driven by a mix of broken cloud, moderate southwesterly winds, and residual moisture that limit radiative cooling under clear skies. These conditions follow a cooler-than-average early June pattern influenced by a southward-shifted jet stream and Atlantic low-pressure systems, keeping minimum temperatures close to seasonal normals rather than allowing stronger nocturnal drops. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind speed, which differentiate the tightly contested 10°C and 11°C outcomes in trader sentiment while rendering sub-9°C or 13°C+ scenarios less likely absent major model shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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