Latest MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum near 14°C for Wellington on June 11, reflecting typical early-winter conditions with moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover that limits diurnal warming. This aligns with climatological normals of 13–14°C for the period and follows a brief early-June warm anomaly exceeding 19°C that has since moderated. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures overall, while model consensus shows limited spread around the 13–15°C range. Resolution hinges on official highest-temperature readings, with any shift in steering patterns or frontal timing the main variables that could alter the outcome before the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
14°C 41%
15°C 27%
13°C 22%
16°C 5.1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
22%
14°C
41%
15°C
27%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 41%
15°C 27%
13°C 22%
16°C 5.1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
8°C or below
$317 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$43 Vol.
1%
12°C
$52 Vol.
3%
13°C
$152 Vol.
22%
14°C
$152 Vol.
41%
15°C
$90 Vol.
27%
16°C
$111 Vol.
5%
17°C
$37 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum near 14°C for Wellington on June 11, reflecting typical early-winter conditions with moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover that limits diurnal warming. This aligns with climatological normals of 13–14°C for the period and follows a brief early-June warm anomaly exceeding 19°C that has since moderated. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures overall, while model consensus shows limited spread around the 13–15°C range. Resolution hinges on official highest-temperature readings, with any shift in steering patterns or frontal timing the main variables that could alter the outcome before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$926End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum near 14°C for Wellington on June 11, reflecting typical early-winter conditions with moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover that limits diurnal warming. This aligns with climatological normals of 13–14°C for the period and follows a brief early-June warm anomaly exceeding 19°C that has since moderated. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures overall, while model consensus shows limited spread around the 13–15°C range. Resolution hinges on official highest-temperature readings, with any shift in steering patterns or frontal timing the main variables that could alter the outcome before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$926End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a daily maximum near 14°C for Wellington on June 11, reflecting typical early-winter conditions with moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover that limits diurnal warming. This aligns with climatological normals of 13–14°C for the period and follows a brief early-June warm anomaly exceeding 19°C that has since moderated. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures overall, while model consensus shows limited spread around the 13–15°C range. Resolution hinges on official highest-temperature readings, with any shift in steering patterns or frontal timing the main variables that could alter the outcome before the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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