Recent forecast runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show Tel Aviv likely reaching a daily maximum of 26–28 °C on May 19 under clear skies and a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Light westerly flow limits strong sea-breeze cooling during peak heating hours, while modest onshore moisture keeps relative humidity from suppressing temperatures further. Model consensus remains tight around this range, with minor spread arising from slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing. Historical May averages near 26 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors the upper half of that climatology. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will sharpen the final peak reading recorded at Ben Gurion Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 19?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 19?
27°C 33%
28°C 25%
29°C 17%
26°C 7%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
33%
28°C
25%
29°C
17%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 33%
28°C 25%
29°C 17%
26°C 7%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
21°C or below
$211 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$319 Vol.
1%
24°C
$54 Vol.
2%
25°C
$118 Vol.
4%
26°C
$136 Vol.
7%
27°C
$417 Vol.
33%
28°C
$145 Vol.
25%
29°C
$200 Vol.
17%
30°C
$227 Vol.
4%
31°C or higher
$487 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show Tel Aviv likely reaching a daily maximum of 26–28 °C on May 19 under clear skies and a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Light westerly flow limits strong sea-breeze cooling during peak heating hours, while modest onshore moisture keeps relative humidity from suppressing temperatures further. Model consensus remains tight around this range, with minor spread arising from slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing. Historical May averages near 26 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors the upper half of that climatology. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will sharpen the final peak reading recorded at Ben Gurion Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,421End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show Tel Aviv likely reaching a daily maximum of 26–28 °C on May 19 under clear skies and a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Light westerly flow limits strong sea-breeze cooling during peak heating hours, while modest onshore moisture keeps relative humidity from suppressing temperatures further. Model consensus remains tight around this range, with minor spread arising from slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing. Historical May averages near 26 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors the upper half of that climatology. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will sharpen the final peak reading recorded at Ben Gurion Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,421End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show Tel Aviv likely reaching a daily maximum of 26–28 °C on May 19 under clear skies and a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Light westerly flow limits strong sea-breeze cooling during peak heating hours, while modest onshore moisture keeps relative humidity from suppressing temperatures further. Model consensus remains tight around this range, with minor spread arising from slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing. Historical May averages near 26 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors the upper half of that climatology. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will sharpen the final peak reading recorded at Ben Gurion Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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