Recent forecasts from the KNMI and ECMWF models indicate a mid-teens daytime maximum for Amsterdam on May 19, driven by moderate westerly flow off the North Sea that limits warm-air advection while scattered cloud cover reduces peak solar insolation. This setup produces the tight clustering around 14–16 °C in trader pricing, consistent with historical May variability where daily highs fluctuate 3–5 °C around the 16–17 °C climatological mean depending on exact timing of any weak frontal passages. Key resolution criteria remain the official 24-hour maximum at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol; updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer skies or a brief ridge could push readings toward the upper end of the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 19?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 19?
15°C 32%
14°C 27%
16°C 20%
13°C 9%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
9%
14°C
27%
15°C
32%
16°C
20%
17°C
7%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 32%
14°C 27%
16°C 20%
13°C 9%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
10°C or below
$521 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$160 Vol.
2%
13°C
$141 Vol.
9%
14°C
$131 Vol.
27%
15°C
$224 Vol.
32%
16°C
$87 Vol.
20%
17°C
$9 Vol.
7%
18°C
$128 Vol.
4%
19°C
$15 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the KNMI and ECMWF models indicate a mid-teens daytime maximum for Amsterdam on May 19, driven by moderate westerly flow off the North Sea that limits warm-air advection while scattered cloud cover reduces peak solar insolation. This setup produces the tight clustering around 14–16 °C in trader pricing, consistent with historical May variability where daily highs fluctuate 3–5 °C around the 16–17 °C climatological mean depending on exact timing of any weak frontal passages. Key resolution criteria remain the official 24-hour maximum at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol; updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer skies or a brief ridge could push readings toward the upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,436End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the KNMI and ECMWF models indicate a mid-teens daytime maximum for Amsterdam on May 19, driven by moderate westerly flow off the North Sea that limits warm-air advection while scattered cloud cover reduces peak solar insolation. This setup produces the tight clustering around 14–16 °C in trader pricing, consistent with historical May variability where daily highs fluctuate 3–5 °C around the 16–17 °C climatological mean depending on exact timing of any weak frontal passages. Key resolution criteria remain the official 24-hour maximum at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol; updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer skies or a brief ridge could push readings toward the upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,436End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMRecent forecasts from the KNMI and ECMWF models indicate a mid-teens daytime maximum for Amsterdam on May 19, driven by moderate westerly flow off the North Sea that limits warm-air advection while scattered cloud cover reduces peak solar insolation. This setup produces the tight clustering around 14–16 °C in trader pricing, consistent with historical May variability where daily highs fluctuate 3–5 °C around the 16–17 °C climatological mean depending on exact timing of any weak frontal passages. Key resolution criteria remain the official 24-hour maximum at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol; updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer skies or a brief ridge could push readings toward the upper end of the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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