Recent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and regional models indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Taipei on May 17, driven by light easterly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical early-season conditions before the full onset of the Meiyu front. This atmospheric setup supports strong solar heating under mostly clear skies, aligning with historical May averages of 28–30°C at the Taipei Songshan Airport station. Trader consensus has consolidated around the 31°C outcome as the resolution threshold, reflecting high confidence in these stable conditions. Shifts in cloud cover, an earlier-than-expected frontal passage, or localized convective activity could still cap the high below 31°C or push it higher if instability develops.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on May 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 17?
31°C 99.9%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$109,983 Vol.
$109,983 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.9%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$109,983 Vol.
$109,983 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$1,818 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,853 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,227 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,535 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,351 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,735 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,325 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$60,388 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$8,869 Vol.
100%
32°C
$7,996 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$10,886 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and regional models indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Taipei on May 17, driven by light easterly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical early-season conditions before the full onset of the Meiyu front. This atmospheric setup supports strong solar heating under mostly clear skies, aligning with historical May averages of 28–30°C at the Taipei Songshan Airport station. Trader consensus has consolidated around the 31°C outcome as the resolution threshold, reflecting high confidence in these stable conditions. Shifts in cloud cover, an earlier-than-expected frontal passage, or localized convective activity could still cap the high below 31°C or push it higher if instability develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$109,983End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and regional models indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Taipei on May 17, driven by light easterly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical early-season conditions before the full onset of the Meiyu front. This atmospheric setup supports strong solar heating under mostly clear skies, aligning with historical May averages of 28–30°C at the Taipei Songshan Airport station. Trader consensus has consolidated around the 31°C outcome as the resolution threshold, reflecting high confidence in these stable conditions. Shifts in cloud cover, an earlier-than-expected frontal passage, or localized convective activity could still cap the high below 31°C or push it higher if instability develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$109,983End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRecent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and regional models indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Taipei on May 17, driven by light easterly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical early-season conditions before the full onset of the Meiyu front. This atmospheric setup supports strong solar heating under mostly clear skies, aligning with historical May averages of 28–30°C at the Taipei Songshan Airport station. Trader consensus has consolidated around the 31°C outcome as the resolution threshold, reflecting high confidence in these stable conditions. Shifts in cloud cover, an earlier-than-expected frontal passage, or localized convective activity could still cap the high below 31°C or push it higher if instability develops.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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