Current meteorological forecasts indicate a daily maximum temperature of 18°C in Ankara on May 17, reflecting the near-certain market consensus. Ensemble model runs show stable high-pressure dominance over central Anatolia with limited warm advection and typical springtime diurnal ranges, keeping peak readings tightly clustered around this value. Official monitoring from regional meteorological agencies aligns with these projections, consistent with mid-May climatology for the area where temperatures rarely exceed 20°C absent unusual synoptic shifts. The minimal spread in short-range predictions leaves scant room for outcomes above 19°C or below 17°C, though final verification depends on complete observational data by the close of the calendar day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
18°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$53,740 Vol.
$53,740 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$53,740 Vol.
$53,740 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACCurrent meteorological forecasts indicate a daily maximum temperature of 18°C in Ankara on May 17, reflecting the near-certain market consensus. Ensemble model runs show stable high-pressure dominance over central Anatolia with limited warm advection and typical springtime diurnal ranges, keeping peak readings tightly clustered around this value. Official monitoring from regional meteorological agencies aligns with these projections, consistent with mid-May climatology for the area where temperatures rarely exceed 20°C absent unusual synoptic shifts. The minimal spread in short-range predictions leaves scant room for outcomes above 19°C or below 17°C, though final verification depends on complete observational data by the close of the calendar day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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