Recent forecast runs from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models point to a Guangzhou high near 28–29 °C on May 19, with variable morning cloud cover and scattered showers limiting solar heating in the Pearl River Delta’s humid subtropical environment. This keeps the 29 °C bin narrowly ahead at 26 % implied probability, followed closely by 28 °C, as traders weigh modest afternoon clearing against typical mid-May moisture influx. Historical May daily maxima average 29 °C at Baiyun station, yet interannual swings of 3–4 °C occur regularly depending on convective activity. Updated model consensus and any overnight rain reports in the next 48 hours will sharpen resolution odds before the official observation closes the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 19?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 19?
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
30°C 16%
31°C 12%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
22%
29°C
26%
30°C
16%
31°C
12%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
30°C 16%
31°C 12%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
25°C or below
$113 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$57 Vol.
11%
28°C
$8 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$53 Vol.
16%
31°C
$10 Vol.
12%
32°C
$0 Vol.
5%
33°C
$247 Vol.
1%
34°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$228 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast runs from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models point to a Guangzhou high near 28–29 °C on May 19, with variable morning cloud cover and scattered showers limiting solar heating in the Pearl River Delta’s humid subtropical environment. This keeps the 29 °C bin narrowly ahead at 26 % implied probability, followed closely by 28 °C, as traders weigh modest afternoon clearing against typical mid-May moisture influx. Historical May daily maxima average 29 °C at Baiyun station, yet interannual swings of 3–4 °C occur regularly depending on convective activity. Updated model consensus and any overnight rain reports in the next 48 hours will sharpen resolution odds before the official observation closes the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$965End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast runs from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models point to a Guangzhou high near 28–29 °C on May 19, with variable morning cloud cover and scattered showers limiting solar heating in the Pearl River Delta’s humid subtropical environment. This keeps the 29 °C bin narrowly ahead at 26 % implied probability, followed closely by 28 °C, as traders weigh modest afternoon clearing against typical mid-May moisture influx. Historical May daily maxima average 29 °C at Baiyun station, yet interannual swings of 3–4 °C occur regularly depending on convective activity. Updated model consensus and any overnight rain reports in the next 48 hours will sharpen resolution odds before the official observation closes the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$965End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent forecast runs from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models point to a Guangzhou high near 28–29 °C on May 19, with variable morning cloud cover and scattered showers limiting solar heating in the Pearl River Delta’s humid subtropical environment. This keeps the 29 °C bin narrowly ahead at 26 % implied probability, followed closely by 28 °C, as traders weigh modest afternoon clearing against typical mid-May moisture influx. Historical May daily maxima average 29 °C at Baiyun station, yet interannual swings of 3–4 °C occur regularly depending on convective activity. Updated model consensus and any overnight rain reports in the next 48 hours will sharpen resolution odds before the official observation closes the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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