Recent BMKG forecasts and ensemble model consensus lock in a daily maximum of 32°C for Jakarta on May 17, driven by moderate humidity levels, suppressed afternoon convection, and stable atmospheric steering during the transition into the dry season. This places the market-implied odds near certainty for the 32°C outcome, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when solar heating peaks around midday without significant moisture influx to fuel thunderstorms. Traders have aligned behind this projection because official station data and multiple dynamical models show minimal deviation risk. A sudden increase in convective cloud cover or an unforecasted shift in boundary-layer moisture could still nudge readings one degree lower or higher by late afternoon, though current guidance assigns low probability to such changes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 17?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 17?
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
31°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$64,533 Vol.
$64,533 Vol.
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
31°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$64,533 Vol.
$64,533 Vol.
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
$3,618 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,940 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,733 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,698 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$12,395 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$15,590 Vol.
100%
33°C
$11,572 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$4,353 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,267 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,670 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$2,420 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent BMKG forecasts and ensemble model consensus lock in a daily maximum of 32°C for Jakarta on May 17, driven by moderate humidity levels, suppressed afternoon convection, and stable atmospheric steering during the transition into the dry season. This places the market-implied odds near certainty for the 32°C outcome, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when solar heating peaks around midday without significant moisture influx to fuel thunderstorms. Traders have aligned behind this projection because official station data and multiple dynamical models show minimal deviation risk. A sudden increase in convective cloud cover or an unforecasted shift in boundary-layer moisture could still nudge readings one degree lower or higher by late afternoon, though current guidance assigns low probability to such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$64,533End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent BMKG forecasts and ensemble model consensus lock in a daily maximum of 32°C for Jakarta on May 17, driven by moderate humidity levels, suppressed afternoon convection, and stable atmospheric steering during the transition into the dry season. This places the market-implied odds near certainty for the 32°C outcome, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when solar heating peaks around midday without significant moisture influx to fuel thunderstorms. Traders have aligned behind this projection because official station data and multiple dynamical models show minimal deviation risk. A sudden increase in convective cloud cover or an unforecasted shift in boundary-layer moisture could still nudge readings one degree lower or higher by late afternoon, though current guidance assigns low probability to such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$64,533End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHRecent BMKG forecasts and ensemble model consensus lock in a daily maximum of 32°C for Jakarta on May 17, driven by moderate humidity levels, suppressed afternoon convection, and stable atmospheric steering during the transition into the dry season. This places the market-implied odds near certainty for the 32°C outcome, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when solar heating peaks around midday without significant moisture influx to fuel thunderstorms. Traders have aligned behind this projection because official station data and multiple dynamical models show minimal deviation risk. A sudden increase in convective cloud cover or an unforecasted shift in boundary-layer moisture could still nudge readings one degree lower or higher by late afternoon, though current guidance assigns low probability to such changes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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