Recent meteorological guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department points to near-normal daytime highs of 34–35°C for Karachi through May 19, with potential 1–3°C elevations from pre-monsoon continental heating offset by persistent sea-breeze moderation along the coast. Model consensus remains centered on this range amid typical May climatology, though northwest wind shifts could briefly push peaks toward 36–37°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical May averages near 34–35°C, creating tight implied probabilities across 35°C, 36°C, and 37°C-or-higher outcomes. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution around the 35–36°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on May 19?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 19?
35°C 34%
36°C 31%
37°C or higher 24%
34°C 14%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
14%
35°C
34%
36°C
31%
37°C or higher
24%
35°C 34%
36°C 31%
37°C or higher 24%
34°C 14%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
27°C or below
$203 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$547 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$210 Vol.
1%
30°C
$96 Vol.
1%
31°C
$92 Vol.
1%
32°C
$54 Vol.
1%
33°C
$48 Vol.
4%
34°C
$42 Vol.
14%
35°C
$52 Vol.
34%
36°C
$64 Vol.
31%
37°C or higher
$19 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department points to near-normal daytime highs of 34–35°C for Karachi through May 19, with potential 1–3°C elevations from pre-monsoon continental heating offset by persistent sea-breeze moderation along the coast. Model consensus remains centered on this range amid typical May climatology, though northwest wind shifts could briefly push peaks toward 36–37°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical May averages near 34–35°C, creating tight implied probabilities across 35°C, 36°C, and 37°C-or-higher outcomes. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution around the 35–36°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$1,425End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department points to near-normal daytime highs of 34–35°C for Karachi through May 19, with potential 1–3°C elevations from pre-monsoon continental heating offset by persistent sea-breeze moderation along the coast. Model consensus remains centered on this range amid typical May climatology, though northwest wind shifts could briefly push peaks toward 36–37°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical May averages near 34–35°C, creating tight implied probabilities across 35°C, 36°C, and 37°C-or-higher outcomes. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution around the 35–36°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,425End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCRecent meteorological guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department points to near-normal daytime highs of 34–35°C for Karachi through May 19, with potential 1–3°C elevations from pre-monsoon continental heating offset by persistent sea-breeze moderation along the coast. Model consensus remains centered on this range amid typical May climatology, though northwest wind shifts could briefly push peaks toward 36–37°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical May averages near 34–35°C, creating tight implied probabilities across 35°C, 36°C, and 37°C-or-higher outcomes. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution around the 35–36°C threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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