Current atmospheric conditions over the Yellow Sea maintain a cool marine boundary layer moderating daytime highs in coastal Qingdao, with China Meteorological Administration forecasts centering on 19–21°C for May 19 amid variable cloud cover and possible light rain. This setup aligns with historical mid-May climatology showing average maxima near 20°C, where sea-surface temperatures and prevailing easterly flows typically suppress warm advection. Model ensembles display modest spread in peak timing and insolation, creating tight market-implied odds across 19–21°C outcomes as traders weigh the balance between lingering marine influence and any brief southwesterly surge that could add 1–2°C. Updated CMA regional guidance and next ensemble runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 19?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 19?
19°C 25%
21°C 24%
20°C 19%
18°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
12%
18°C
13%
19°C
25%
20°C
19%
21°C
24%
22°C
9%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 25%
21°C 24%
20°C 19%
18°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
14°C or below
$233 Vol.
1%
15°C
$508 Vol.
1%
16°C
$230 Vol.
2%
17°C
$27 Vol.
12%
18°C
$35 Vol.
13%
19°C
$5 Vol.
25%
20°C
$16 Vol.
19%
21°C
$103 Vol.
24%
22°C
$26 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C or higher
$399 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current atmospheric conditions over the Yellow Sea maintain a cool marine boundary layer moderating daytime highs in coastal Qingdao, with China Meteorological Administration forecasts centering on 19–21°C for May 19 amid variable cloud cover and possible light rain. This setup aligns with historical mid-May climatology showing average maxima near 20°C, where sea-surface temperatures and prevailing easterly flows typically suppress warm advection. Model ensembles display modest spread in peak timing and insolation, creating tight market-implied odds across 19–21°C outcomes as traders weigh the balance between lingering marine influence and any brief southwesterly surge that could add 1–2°C. Updated CMA regional guidance and next ensemble runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$1,582End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current atmospheric conditions over the Yellow Sea maintain a cool marine boundary layer moderating daytime highs in coastal Qingdao, with China Meteorological Administration forecasts centering on 19–21°C for May 19 amid variable cloud cover and possible light rain. This setup aligns with historical mid-May climatology showing average maxima near 20°C, where sea-surface temperatures and prevailing easterly flows typically suppress warm advection. Model ensembles display modest spread in peak timing and insolation, creating tight market-implied odds across 19–21°C outcomes as traders weigh the balance between lingering marine influence and any brief southwesterly surge that could add 1–2°C. Updated CMA regional guidance and next ensemble runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,582End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDCurrent atmospheric conditions over the Yellow Sea maintain a cool marine boundary layer moderating daytime highs in coastal Qingdao, with China Meteorological Administration forecasts centering on 19–21°C for May 19 amid variable cloud cover and possible light rain. This setup aligns with historical mid-May climatology showing average maxima near 20°C, where sea-surface temperatures and prevailing easterly flows typically suppress warm advection. Model ensembles display modest spread in peak timing and insolation, creating tight market-implied odds across 19–21°C outcomes as traders weigh the balance between lingering marine influence and any brief southwesterly surge that could add 1–2°C. Updated CMA regional guidance and next ensemble runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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