Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge and easterly Sharav winds has positioned 34 °C as the clear market favorite for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum at 86.5 % implied probability. These dry desert winds, combined with clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation, are expected to push afternoon temperatures well above the 26–28 °C climatological norm for mid-May. Recent model runs from the Israel Meteorological Service show surface warming accelerating after cooler 24–25 °C readings on May 15–16, with afternoon peaks likely settling near 34 °C. Final resolution hinges on official observations at Ben Gurion International Airport before the daily cutoff, where any late sea-breeze shift could cap the high or allow brief exceedance of 35 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
35°C or higher 99.4%
27°C <1%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$66,316 Vol.
$66,316 Vol.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
99%
35°C or higher 99.4%
27°C <1%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$66,316 Vol.
$66,316 Vol.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
$10,465 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,768 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,291 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,381 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,721 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,265 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,971 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,782 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,782 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$7,983 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$11,227 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge and easterly Sharav winds has positioned 34 °C as the clear market favorite for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum at 86.5 % implied probability. These dry desert winds, combined with clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation, are expected to push afternoon temperatures well above the 26–28 °C climatological norm for mid-May. Recent model runs from the Israel Meteorological Service show surface warming accelerating after cooler 24–25 °C readings on May 15–16, with afternoon peaks likely settling near 34 °C. Final resolution hinges on official observations at Ben Gurion International Airport before the daily cutoff, where any late sea-breeze shift could cap the high or allow brief exceedance of 35 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$66,316End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge and easterly Sharav winds has positioned 34 °C as the clear market favorite for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum at 86.5 % implied probability. These dry desert winds, combined with clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation, are expected to push afternoon temperatures well above the 26–28 °C climatological norm for mid-May. Recent model runs from the Israel Meteorological Service show surface warming accelerating after cooler 24–25 °C readings on May 15–16, with afternoon peaks likely settling near 34 °C. Final resolution hinges on official observations at Ben Gurion International Airport before the daily cutoff, where any late sea-breeze shift could cap the high or allow brief exceedance of 35 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$66,316End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETStrong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge and easterly Sharav winds has positioned 34 °C as the clear market favorite for Tel Aviv’s May 17 maximum at 86.5 % implied probability. These dry desert winds, combined with clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation, are expected to push afternoon temperatures well above the 26–28 °C climatological norm for mid-May. Recent model runs from the Israel Meteorological Service show surface warming accelerating after cooler 24–25 °C readings on May 15–16, with afternoon peaks likely settling near 34 °C. Final resolution hinges on official observations at Ben Gurion International Airport before the daily cutoff, where any late sea-breeze shift could cap the high or allow brief exceedance of 35 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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