Current forecasts from PAGASA indicate partly cloudy skies over Manila on May 19 with a 33–34°C high and 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, keeping trader focus on the narrow 33–35°C range where odds cluster tightly. Peak solar heating during the dry-season transition drives mid-afternoon maxima, yet increasing moisture and convective clouds can cap temperatures by reducing insolation and triggering evaporative cooling from brief showers. Historical May averages hover near 33–35°C, with urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila occasionally adding 1°C to official readings at the Science Garden station. Updated PAGASA model runs and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will determine whether localized clearing allows a 35°C spike or whether persistent cloud cover holds the high at 34°C or below.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on May 19?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 19?
34°C 33%
35°C 27%
33°C 19%
36°C 16%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
19%
34°C
33%
35°C
27%
36°C
16%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 33%
35°C 27%
33°C 19%
36°C 16%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
29°C or below
$139 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$39 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$292 Vol.
1%
32°C
$73 Vol.
8%
33°C
$226 Vol.
19%
34°C
$232 Vol.
33%
35°C
$24 Vol.
27%
36°C
$100 Vol.
16%
37°C
$309 Vol.
1%
38°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$42 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from PAGASA indicate partly cloudy skies over Manila on May 19 with a 33–34°C high and 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, keeping trader focus on the narrow 33–35°C range where odds cluster tightly. Peak solar heating during the dry-season transition drives mid-afternoon maxima, yet increasing moisture and convective clouds can cap temperatures by reducing insolation and triggering evaporative cooling from brief showers. Historical May averages hover near 33–35°C, with urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila occasionally adding 1°C to official readings at the Science Garden station. Updated PAGASA model runs and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will determine whether localized clearing allows a 35°C spike or whether persistent cloud cover holds the high at 34°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$1,524End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from PAGASA indicate partly cloudy skies over Manila on May 19 with a 33–34°C high and 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, keeping trader focus on the narrow 33–35°C range where odds cluster tightly. Peak solar heating during the dry-season transition drives mid-afternoon maxima, yet increasing moisture and convective clouds can cap temperatures by reducing insolation and triggering evaporative cooling from brief showers. Historical May averages hover near 33–35°C, with urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila occasionally adding 1°C to official readings at the Science Garden station. Updated PAGASA model runs and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will determine whether localized clearing allows a 35°C spike or whether persistent cloud cover holds the high at 34°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,524End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLCurrent forecasts from PAGASA indicate partly cloudy skies over Manila on May 19 with a 33–34°C high and 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, keeping trader focus on the narrow 33–35°C range where odds cluster tightly. Peak solar heating during the dry-season transition drives mid-afternoon maxima, yet increasing moisture and convective clouds can cap temperatures by reducing insolation and triggering evaporative cooling from brief showers. Historical May averages hover near 33–35°C, with urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila occasionally adding 1°C to official readings at the Science Garden station. Updated PAGASA model runs and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will determine whether localized clearing allows a 35°C spike or whether persistent cloud cover holds the high at 34°C or below.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions