Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs project a high temperature in Denver on May 19 well below 55°F, driven by an incoming cool air mass and possible light precipitation that will suppress daytime warming. This positions the 55°F-or-below outcome as the clear market leader because official guidance from NOAA shows temperatures struggling to reach the mid-40s amid northerly flow and cloud cover. Historical May averages near 70°F underscore how atypical the current pattern is, yet model consensus remains firm through the short-range period. Any rapid shift in steering winds or earlier clearing could push readings higher, though such revisions appear unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on May 19?
55°F or below 97.0%
56-57°F 2.6%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
55°F or below
97%
56-57°F
3%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
55°F or below 97.0%
56-57°F 2.6%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
55°F or below
97%
56-57°F
3%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFCurrent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs project a high temperature in Denver on May 19 well below 55°F, driven by an incoming cool air mass and possible light precipitation that will suppress daytime warming. This positions the 55°F-or-below outcome as the clear market leader because official guidance from NOAA shows temperatures struggling to reach the mid-40s amid northerly flow and cloud cover. Historical May averages near 70°F underscore how atypical the current pattern is, yet model consensus remains firm through the short-range period. Any rapid shift in steering winds or earlier clearing could push readings higher, though such revisions appear unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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