Recent meteorological forecasts from China's national weather service indicate a daytime high of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly winds that limit heat accumulation. Ensemble models show tight agreement around this value, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Yangtze River valley where typical maxima fall between 26–29°C. The market's near-100% implied probability on 28°C reflects traders' assessment of these consensus projections and limited upside risk. An unexpected surge in solar insolation or a late-developing warm front could still push readings to 29°C or above, though current guidance assigns low odds to such deviations before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,903 Vol.
$53,903 Vol.
May 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,903 Vol.
$53,903 Vol.
May 17, 2026
24°C or below
$3,314 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,402 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,976 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$14,202 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8,024 Vol.
100%
29°C
$3,645 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,506 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,831 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,027 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,615 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,360 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts from China's national weather service indicate a daytime high of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly winds that limit heat accumulation. Ensemble models show tight agreement around this value, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Yangtze River valley where typical maxima fall between 26–29°C. The market's near-100% implied probability on 28°C reflects traders' assessment of these consensus projections and limited upside risk. An unexpected surge in solar insolation or a late-developing warm front could still push readings to 29°C or above, though current guidance assigns low odds to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$53,903End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts from China's national weather service indicate a daytime high of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly winds that limit heat accumulation. Ensemble models show tight agreement around this value, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Yangtze River valley where typical maxima fall between 26–29°C. The market's near-100% implied probability on 28°C reflects traders' assessment of these consensus projections and limited upside risk. An unexpected surge in solar insolation or a late-developing warm front could still push readings to 29°C or above, though current guidance assigns low odds to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$53,903End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent meteorological forecasts from China's national weather service indicate a daytime high of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly winds that limit heat accumulation. Ensemble models show tight agreement around this value, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Yangtze River valley where typical maxima fall between 26–29°C. The market's near-100% implied probability on 28°C reflects traders' assessment of these consensus projections and limited upside risk. An unexpected surge in solar insolation or a late-developing warm front could still push readings to 29°C or above, though current guidance assigns low odds to such deviations before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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