Current meteorological forecasts from Singapore's official weather monitoring services indicate a daily maximum of 32°C on May 17, aligning with the market's dominant 100% implied probability for that outcome. Singapore's equatorial climate features consistent solar heating and high humidity that typically sustain temperatures in the 31–33°C range during mid-May, matching climatological averages for this period without significant deviations from recent model runs. Stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud interference have kept readings on track with historical baselines, though localized afternoon showers could briefly suppress the peak. Any realistic shift would require unexpected convective activity or a revised observational reading from the national meteorological agency to alter the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on May 17?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$93,474 Vol.
$93,474 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$93,474 Vol.
$93,474 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSCurrent meteorological forecasts from Singapore's official weather monitoring services indicate a daily maximum of 32°C on May 17, aligning with the market's dominant 100% implied probability for that outcome. Singapore's equatorial climate features consistent solar heating and high humidity that typically sustain temperatures in the 31–33°C range during mid-May, matching climatological averages for this period without significant deviations from recent model runs. Stable atmospheric conditions and minimal cloud interference have kept readings on track with historical baselines, though localized afternoon showers could briefly suppress the peak. Any realistic shift would require unexpected convective activity or a revised observational reading from the national meteorological agency to alter the threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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