Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service indicate daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C for most of the remainder of May under prevailing inter-monsoon conditions with light, variable winds. Afternoon thundery showers, driven by daytime heating and high moisture content, frequently limit peak readings by increasing cloud cover and triggering convective cooling before the warmest hours. Recent observations show maxima occasionally reaching 35°C when showers are delayed or localized, while stronger convection can hold readings near 31–32°C. Model consensus and historical May climatology around 31–32°C support the market’s tight clustering between 31°C and 33°C outcomes, with any shift in shower timing or intensity on May 18 likely to determine whether the highest station reading exceeds or falls short of 32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on May 18?
32°C 38%
31°C 29%
33°C 16%
34°C or higher 7.8%
$14,935 Vol.
$14,935 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C
29%
32°C
38%
33°C
16%
34°C or higher
8%
32°C 38%
31°C 29%
33°C 16%
34°C or higher 7.8%
$14,935 Vol.
$14,935 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C
29%
32°C
38%
33°C
16%
34°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSOfficial forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service indicate daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C for most of the remainder of May under prevailing inter-monsoon conditions with light, variable winds. Afternoon thundery showers, driven by daytime heating and high moisture content, frequently limit peak readings by increasing cloud cover and triggering convective cooling before the warmest hours. Recent observations show maxima occasionally reaching 35°C when showers are delayed or localized, while stronger convection can hold readings near 31–32°C. Model consensus and historical May climatology around 31–32°C support the market’s tight clustering between 31°C and 33°C outcomes, with any shift in shower timing or intensity on May 18 likely to determine whether the highest station reading exceeds or falls short of 32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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