Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 26–27 °C for Wuhan on May 18, aligning with mid-May climatology where typical peaks reach 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Trader sentiment clusters around the 25–26 °C outcomes because afternoon convective activity and subtle shifts in steering patterns could trim or boost readings by 1–2 °C depending on cloud cover and humidity. These near-term model runs, updated within the past 24 hours, support the market-implied probabilities while highlighting remaining uncertainty in local boundary-layer conditions ahead of official verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 18?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 18?
25°C 37%
26°C 28%
27°C 17%
24°C 9.5%
NEW
$11,288 Vol.
NEW
$11,288 Vol.
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
37%
26°C
34%
27°C
17%
28°C or higher
5%
25°C 37%
26°C 28%
27°C 17%
24°C 9.5%
NEW
$11,288 Vol.
NEW
$11,288 Vol.
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
$420 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$770 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$406 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$724 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,524 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,008 Vol.
10%
25°C
$1,436 Vol.
37%
26°C
$1,724 Vol.
34%
27°C
$1,099 Vol.
17%
28°C or higher
$818 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 26–27 °C for Wuhan on May 18, aligning with mid-May climatology where typical peaks reach 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Trader sentiment clusters around the 25–26 °C outcomes because afternoon convective activity and subtle shifts in steering patterns could trim or boost readings by 1–2 °C depending on cloud cover and humidity. These near-term model runs, updated within the past 24 hours, support the market-implied probabilities while highlighting remaining uncertainty in local boundary-layer conditions ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$11,288End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 26–27 °C for Wuhan on May 18, aligning with mid-May climatology where typical peaks reach 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Trader sentiment clusters around the 25–26 °C outcomes because afternoon convective activity and subtle shifts in steering patterns could trim or boost readings by 1–2 °C depending on cloud cover and humidity. These near-term model runs, updated within the past 24 hours, support the market-implied probabilities while highlighting remaining uncertainty in local boundary-layer conditions ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,288End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHLatest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 26–27 °C for Wuhan on May 18, aligning with mid-May climatology where typical peaks reach 26–28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Trader sentiment clusters around the 25–26 °C outcomes because afternoon convective activity and subtle shifts in steering patterns could trim or boost readings by 1–2 °C depending on cloud cover and humidity. These near-term model runs, updated within the past 24 hours, support the market-implied probabilities while highlighting remaining uncertainty in local boundary-layer conditions ahead of official verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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