Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a maximum temperature near 30°C on June 12, consistent with the market's leading 34% implied probability, amid the region's early summer monsoon conditions. June typically features high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by several degrees or allow brief clear periods to push them higher. Key variables include the timing and intensity of precipitation, which influences surface heating; model differences in handling sea-breeze effects and upper-level steering; and baseline climatology showing average June highs around 31°C. With probabilities spread across 28–32°C, traders appear to weigh the potential for rain-cooled afternoons against drier scenarios, with updates from regional weather services likely to refine the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 12?
30°C 34%
29°C 22%
31°C 14%
28°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C
22%
30°C
34%
31°C
14%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
3%
30°C 34%
29°C 22%
31°C 14%
28°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
23°C or below
$50 Vol.
1%
24°C
$20 Vol.
1%
25°C
$30 Vol.
1%
26°C
$130 Vol.
3%
27°C
$24 Vol.
5%
28°C
$11 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
22%
30°C
$25 Vol.
34%
31°C
$9 Vol.
14%
32°C
$2 Vol.
7%
33°C or higher
$15 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a maximum temperature near 30°C on June 12, consistent with the market's leading 34% implied probability, amid the region's early summer monsoon conditions. June typically features high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by several degrees or allow brief clear periods to push them higher. Key variables include the timing and intensity of precipitation, which influences surface heating; model differences in handling sea-breeze effects and upper-level steering; and baseline climatology showing average June highs around 31°C. With probabilities spread across 28–32°C, traders appear to weigh the potential for rain-cooled afternoons against drier scenarios, with updates from regional weather services likely to refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$316End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a maximum temperature near 30°C on June 12, consistent with the market's leading 34% implied probability, amid the region's early summer monsoon conditions. June typically features high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by several degrees or allow brief clear periods to push them higher. Key variables include the timing and intensity of precipitation, which influences surface heating; model differences in handling sea-breeze effects and upper-level steering; and baseline climatology showing average June highs around 31°C. With probabilities spread across 28–32°C, traders appear to weigh the potential for rain-cooled afternoons against drier scenarios, with updates from regional weather services likely to refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$316End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a maximum temperature near 30°C on June 12, consistent with the market's leading 34% implied probability, amid the region's early summer monsoon conditions. June typically features high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by several degrees or allow brief clear periods to push them higher. Key variables include the timing and intensity of precipitation, which influences surface heating; model differences in handling sea-breeze effects and upper-level steering; and baseline climatology showing average June highs around 31°C. With probabilities spread across 28–32°C, traders appear to weigh the potential for rain-cooled afternoons against drier scenarios, with updates from regional weather services likely to refine the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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