Recent global and regional forecast models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Shenzhen on June 11 will likely fall between 29–31°C under typical early-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered convective showers and increasing cloud cover expected to moderate afternoon maxima. Subtropical humidity and land-sea breeze interactions introduce day-to-day variability in boundary-layer heating, while ensemble spreads from sources such as ECMWF and GFS highlight the narrow margin separating the leading market outcomes. Historical June climatology for the region shows average highs near 30–31°C, providing context for trader positioning around these values. Updated short-range guidance and local observations in the next 48 hours will further refine resolution criteria tied to official meteorological station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 11?
30°C 27%
29°C 26%
31°C 16%
32°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
26%
30°C
27%
31°C
16%
32°C
10%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 27%
29°C 26%
31°C 16%
32°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
26%
30°C
27%
31°C
16%
32°C
10%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global and regional forecast models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Shenzhen on June 11 will likely fall between 29–31°C under typical early-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered convective showers and increasing cloud cover expected to moderate afternoon maxima. Subtropical humidity and land-sea breeze interactions introduce day-to-day variability in boundary-layer heating, while ensemble spreads from sources such as ECMWF and GFS highlight the narrow margin separating the leading market outcomes. Historical June climatology for the region shows average highs near 30–31°C, providing context for trader positioning around these values. Updated short-range guidance and local observations in the next 48 hours will further refine resolution criteria tied to official meteorological station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions