Recent meteorological guidance from European models points to a mild, mostly cloudy day across the Paris region on June 10, with daytime maxima expected to peak near 18–19 °C under light westerly flow and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because a persistent Atlantic trough suppresses stronger warming, while any brief clearing could allow a brief push toward 20 °C. Historical early-June climatology for the city shows an average high of roughly 22 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest negative anomaly that concentrates trader probability on the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance issued in the next 12–18 hours will determine whether the ceiling edges higher or stays capped.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on June 10?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 10?
19°C 41%
18°C 37%
20°C 15%
17°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 10, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
37%
19°C
41%
20°C
15%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 41%
18°C 37%
20°C 15%
17°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 10, 2026
15°C or below
$720 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,208 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,278 Vol.
9%
18°C
$807 Vol.
37%
19°C
$1,355 Vol.
41%
20°C
$998 Vol.
15%
21°C
$791 Vol.
2%
22°C
$784 Vol.
1%
23°C
$338 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$697 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$697 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance from European models points to a mild, mostly cloudy day across the Paris region on June 10, with daytime maxima expected to peak near 18–19 °C under light westerly flow and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because a persistent Atlantic trough suppresses stronger warming, while any brief clearing could allow a brief push toward 20 °C. Historical early-June climatology for the city shows an average high of roughly 22 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest negative anomaly that concentrates trader probability on the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance issued in the next 12–18 hours will determine whether the ceiling edges higher or stays capped.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$9,663End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance from European models points to a mild, mostly cloudy day across the Paris region on June 10, with daytime maxima expected to peak near 18–19 °C under light westerly flow and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because a persistent Atlantic trough suppresses stronger warming, while any brief clearing could allow a brief push toward 20 °C. Historical early-June climatology for the city shows an average high of roughly 22 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest negative anomaly that concentrates trader probability on the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance issued in the next 12–18 hours will determine whether the ceiling edges higher or stays capped.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,663End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological guidance from European models points to a mild, mostly cloudy day across the Paris region on June 10, with daytime maxima expected to peak near 18–19 °C under light westerly flow and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because a persistent Atlantic trough suppresses stronger warming, while any brief clearing could allow a brief push toward 20 °C. Historical early-June climatology for the city shows an average high of roughly 22 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest negative anomaly that concentrates trader probability on the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance issued in the next 12–18 hours will determine whether the ceiling edges higher or stays capped.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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