Recent forecasts from the German Weather Service and European models indicate a mild, mostly cloudy June 11 in Munich with a northerly flow limiting daytime heating, placing the highest temperature near 16°C as the leading market outcome at 32% implied probability. Scattered light rain or overcast conditions expected midday could cap peaks at 15–17°C, consistent with the tight clustering of trader positions around those thresholds and the 23–25% odds on adjacent values. Historical June averages near 22–24°C underscore how this cooler Atlantic-influenced pattern deviates from climatology, while model consensus and proximity to resolution heighten sensitivity to the next 48-hour runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on June 11?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 11?
16°C 34%
17°C 28%
15°C 25%
14°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
9%
15°C
25%
16°C
34%
17°C
28%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 34%
17°C 28%
15°C 25%
14°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
11°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
1%
13°C
$5 Vol.
3%
14°C
$70 Vol.
9%
15°C
$20 Vol.
25%
16°C
$14 Vol.
34%
17°C
$38 Vol.
28%
18°C
$336 Vol.
4%
19°C
$297 Vol.
4%
20°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the German Weather Service and European models indicate a mild, mostly cloudy June 11 in Munich with a northerly flow limiting daytime heating, placing the highest temperature near 16°C as the leading market outcome at 32% implied probability. Scattered light rain or overcast conditions expected midday could cap peaks at 15–17°C, consistent with the tight clustering of trader positions around those thresholds and the 23–25% odds on adjacent values. Historical June averages near 22–24°C underscore how this cooler Atlantic-influenced pattern deviates from climatology, while model consensus and proximity to resolution heighten sensitivity to the next 48-hour runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$834End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the German Weather Service and European models indicate a mild, mostly cloudy June 11 in Munich with a northerly flow limiting daytime heating, placing the highest temperature near 16°C as the leading market outcome at 32% implied probability. Scattered light rain or overcast conditions expected midday could cap peaks at 15–17°C, consistent with the tight clustering of trader positions around those thresholds and the 23–25% odds on adjacent values. Historical June averages near 22–24°C underscore how this cooler Atlantic-influenced pattern deviates from climatology, while model consensus and proximity to resolution heighten sensitivity to the next 48-hour runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$834End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the German Weather Service and European models indicate a mild, mostly cloudy June 11 in Munich with a northerly flow limiting daytime heating, placing the highest temperature near 16°C as the leading market outcome at 32% implied probability. Scattered light rain or overcast conditions expected midday could cap peaks at 15–17°C, consistent with the tight clustering of trader positions around those thresholds and the 23–25% odds on adjacent values. Historical June averages near 22–24°C underscore how this cooler Atlantic-influenced pattern deviates from climatology, while model consensus and proximity to resolution heighten sensitivity to the next 48-hour runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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