Latest ECMWF and GFS forecast ensembles, corroborated by aggregators like Yandex Weather, project Moscow's highest temperature on May 14 near 22°C amid variable cloudiness, isolated showers, and light southerly winds that temper peak warming under a mild high-pressure ridge. This tight model consensus—peaking at 71–73°F (21.5–22.8°C) in early afternoon per hourly guidance from timeanddate and AccuWeather—elevates trader-implied odds to 40.5% for 22°C and 30.5% for 21°C, reflecting above-May-norm warmth following yesterday's 22°C high. Inherent uncertainty persists from potential shower development or clearing skies that could shift outcomes to 23°C; real-time observations at Vnukovo Airport (NOAA resolution source) will clarify as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on May 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 14?
22°C 41%
21°C 32%
23°C 17%
20°C 6%
NEW
$11,588 Vol.
NEW
$11,588 Vol.
May 14, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
32%
22°C
41%
23°C
17%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 41%
21°C 32%
23°C 17%
20°C 6%
NEW
$11,588 Vol.
NEW
$11,588 Vol.
May 14, 2026
17°C or below
$1,790 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,295 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,198 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,444 Vol.
6%
21°C
$480 Vol.
32%
22°C
$449 Vol.
41%
23°C
$462 Vol.
17%
24°C
$765 Vol.
6%
25°C
$1,303 Vol.
1%
26°C
$511 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$1,896 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS forecast ensembles, corroborated by aggregators like Yandex Weather, project Moscow's highest temperature on May 14 near 22°C amid variable cloudiness, isolated showers, and light southerly winds that temper peak warming under a mild high-pressure ridge. This tight model consensus—peaking at 71–73°F (21.5–22.8°C) in early afternoon per hourly guidance from timeanddate and AccuWeather—elevates trader-implied odds to 40.5% for 22°C and 30.5% for 21°C, reflecting above-May-norm warmth following yesterday's 22°C high. Inherent uncertainty persists from potential shower development or clearing skies that could shift outcomes to 23°C; real-time observations at Vnukovo Airport (NOAA resolution source) will clarify as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$11,588End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS forecast ensembles, corroborated by aggregators like Yandex Weather, project Moscow's highest temperature on May 14 near 22°C amid variable cloudiness, isolated showers, and light southerly winds that temper peak warming under a mild high-pressure ridge. This tight model consensus—peaking at 71–73°F (21.5–22.8°C) in early afternoon per hourly guidance from timeanddate and AccuWeather—elevates trader-implied odds to 40.5% for 22°C and 30.5% for 21°C, reflecting above-May-norm warmth following yesterday's 22°C high. Inherent uncertainty persists from potential shower development or clearing skies that could shift outcomes to 23°C; real-time observations at Vnukovo Airport (NOAA resolution source) will clarify as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,588End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS forecast ensembles, corroborated by aggregators like Yandex Weather, project Moscow's highest temperature on May 14 near 22°C amid variable cloudiness, isolated showers, and light southerly winds that temper peak warming under a mild high-pressure ridge. This tight model consensus—peaking at 71–73°F (21.5–22.8°C) in early afternoon per hourly guidance from timeanddate and AccuWeather—elevates trader-implied odds to 40.5% for 22°C and 30.5% for 21°C, reflecting above-May-norm warmth following yesterday's 22°C high. Inherent uncertainty persists from potential shower development or clearing skies that could shift outcomes to 23°C; real-time observations at Vnukovo Airport (NOAA resolution source) will clarify as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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