Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 24°C (31.5%) and 25°C (36.5%) for Shanghai's highest temperature today, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF amid overcast skies and divergent handling of low-level moisture. Current morning observations at Xujiahui station show 22°C with 83% humidity and southeast winds at 17 km/h, limiting insolation and favoring subdued peaks; hourly projections indicate 25-26°C mid-afternoon before potential cloud thickening caps heating. Key differentiators include persistent cloud cover suppressing solar radiation versus urban heat island effects in Shanghai potentially boosting 1°C, against mid-May climatological averages near 25°C. Afternoon updates from CMA will sharpen resolution as sea breeze moderates conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 14?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 14?
24°C 41%
25°C 38%
26°C 12%
23°C 9.3%
NEW
$60,137 Vol.
NEW
$60,137 Vol.
May 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
9%
24°C
41%
25°C
38%
26°C
12%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 41%
25°C 38%
26°C 12%
23°C 9.3%
NEW
$60,137 Vol.
NEW
$60,137 Vol.
May 14, 2026
22°C or below
$16,169 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,024 Vol.
9%
24°C
$4,907 Vol.
41%
25°C
$3,413 Vol.
38%
26°C
$3,465 Vol.
12%
27°C
$4,915 Vol.
6%
28°C
$7,444 Vol.
3%
29°C
$9,229 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5,123 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,322 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$2,054 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 24°C (31.5%) and 25°C (36.5%) for Shanghai's highest temperature today, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF amid overcast skies and divergent handling of low-level moisture. Current morning observations at Xujiahui station show 22°C with 83% humidity and southeast winds at 17 km/h, limiting insolation and favoring subdued peaks; hourly projections indicate 25-26°C mid-afternoon before potential cloud thickening caps heating. Key differentiators include persistent cloud cover suppressing solar radiation versus urban heat island effects in Shanghai potentially boosting 1°C, against mid-May climatological averages near 25°C. Afternoon updates from CMA will sharpen resolution as sea breeze moderates conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$60,137End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 24°C (31.5%) and 25°C (36.5%) for Shanghai's highest temperature today, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF amid overcast skies and divergent handling of low-level moisture. Current morning observations at Xujiahui station show 22°C with 83% humidity and southeast winds at 17 km/h, limiting insolation and favoring subdued peaks; hourly projections indicate 25-26°C mid-afternoon before potential cloud thickening caps heating. Key differentiators include persistent cloud cover suppressing solar radiation versus urban heat island effects in Shanghai potentially boosting 1°C, against mid-May climatological averages near 25°C. Afternoon updates from CMA will sharpen resolution as sea breeze moderates conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$60,137End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 24°C (31.5%) and 25°C (36.5%) for Shanghai's highest temperature today, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF amid overcast skies and divergent handling of low-level moisture. Current morning observations at Xujiahui station show 22°C with 83% humidity and southeast winds at 17 km/h, limiting insolation and favoring subdued peaks; hourly projections indicate 25-26°C mid-afternoon before potential cloud thickening caps heating. Key differentiators include persistent cloud cover suppressing solar radiation versus urban heat island effects in Shanghai potentially boosting 1°C, against mid-May climatological averages near 25°C. Afternoon updates from CMA will sharpen resolution as sea breeze moderates conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions