Trader consensus favors a Taipei high of 25°C at 34% market-implied probability, reflecting Central Weather Administration guidance and aligned forecasts like AccuWeather's 76°F (24.4°C) peak amid cloudy conditions with morning showers transitioning to afternoon rain. This marks a cooldown from May 13's near-27°C forecast under lingering Pacific high pressure, as increased moisture and cloud cover cap daytime heating. Key variables include shower timing—early clearance could push toward 26°C or higher (18-17% odds)—while persistent overcast favors 24°C (23%) or below; urban heat island effects and southerly sea breezes add variability. Monitor CWA Taipei station observations through evening for resolution-defining hourly data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on May 14?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 14?
25°C 29%
24°C 28%
26°C 26%
27°C or higher 20%
NEW
$50,836 Vol.
NEW
$50,836 Vol.
May 14, 2026
24°C
28%
25°C
29%
26°C
26%
27°C or higher
20%
25°C 29%
24°C 28%
26°C 26%
27°C or higher 20%
NEW
$50,836 Vol.
NEW
$50,836 Vol.
May 14, 2026
24°C
$1,278 Vol.
28%
25°C
$1,001 Vol.
29%
26°C
$961 Vol.
26%
27°C or higher
$2,859 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a Taipei high of 25°C at 34% market-implied probability, reflecting Central Weather Administration guidance and aligned forecasts like AccuWeather's 76°F (24.4°C) peak amid cloudy conditions with morning showers transitioning to afternoon rain. This marks a cooldown from May 13's near-27°C forecast under lingering Pacific high pressure, as increased moisture and cloud cover cap daytime heating. Key variables include shower timing—early clearance could push toward 26°C or higher (18-17% odds)—while persistent overcast favors 24°C (23%) or below; urban heat island effects and southerly sea breezes add variability. Monitor CWA Taipei station observations through evening for resolution-defining hourly data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$50,836End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a Taipei high of 25°C at 34% market-implied probability, reflecting Central Weather Administration guidance and aligned forecasts like AccuWeather's 76°F (24.4°C) peak amid cloudy conditions with morning showers transitioning to afternoon rain. This marks a cooldown from May 13's near-27°C forecast under lingering Pacific high pressure, as increased moisture and cloud cover cap daytime heating. Key variables include shower timing—early clearance could push toward 26°C or higher (18-17% odds)—while persistent overcast favors 24°C (23%) or below; urban heat island effects and southerly sea breezes add variability. Monitor CWA Taipei station observations through evening for resolution-defining hourly data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$50,836End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a Taipei high of 25°C at 34% market-implied probability, reflecting Central Weather Administration guidance and aligned forecasts like AccuWeather's 76°F (24.4°C) peak amid cloudy conditions with morning showers transitioning to afternoon rain. This marks a cooldown from May 13's near-27°C forecast under lingering Pacific high pressure, as increased moisture and cloud cover cap daytime heating. Key variables include shower timing—early clearance could push toward 26°C or higher (18-17% odds)—while persistent overcast favors 24°C (23%) or below; urban heat island effects and southerly sea breezes add variability. Monitor CWA Taipei station observations through evening for resolution-defining hourly data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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