Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 15°C high temperature in Buenos Aires on May 13, driven by confirmed observational data from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport station—the market's official resolution source. Hourly automated readings verified a maximum of 15°C, matching SMN forecasts of 6–15°C amid cool autumn conditions with southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, a sharp drop from May 12's 22°C. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms of 16–19°C highs, influenced by seasonal cooling in the pampas region. Realistic challenges are minimal post-release but could include rare SMN data revisions from quality checks; no further updates are expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 13?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 13?
15°C 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$61,171 Vol.
$61,171 Vol.
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
15°C 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$61,171 Vol.
$61,171 Vol.
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 15°C high temperature in Buenos Aires on May 13, driven by confirmed observational data from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport station—the market's official resolution source. Hourly automated readings verified a maximum of 15°C, matching SMN forecasts of 6–15°C amid cool autumn conditions with southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, a sharp drop from May 12's 22°C. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms of 16–19°C highs, influenced by seasonal cooling in the pampas region. Realistic challenges are minimal post-release but could include rare SMN data revisions from quality checks; no further updates are expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions