**Ensemble forecast models from Météo-France and international sources cluster daytime highs for Paris on May 14 tightly around 12–13°C, driving trader consensus to a 50.5% implied probability for 12°C amid 27.5% for 13°C.** Persistent overcast skies, showers, and a dominant low-pressure system over northern France—evident in the past 48 hours' hourly observations—have suppressed temperatures well below mid-May seasonal norms of 18–20°C, following a modest 16°C peak on May 12. Brief cloud breaks could nudge readings higher, but current wind patterns from the northwest reinforce cool, moist conditions. Traders eye hourly station data and final Météo-France advisories through evening for resolution, as inherent forecast uncertainty lingers in variable spring weather patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on May 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 14?
12°C 50%
13°C 28%
11°C 17.4%
14°C 4.5%
NEW
$62,413 Vol.
NEW
$62,413 Vol.
May 14, 2026
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
17%
12°C
50%
13°C
28%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 50%
13°C 28%
11°C 17.4%
14°C 4.5%
NEW
$62,413 Vol.
NEW
$62,413 Vol.
May 14, 2026
9°C
$3,170 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$3,296 Vol.
2%
11°C
$4,513 Vol.
17%
12°C
$5,056 Vol.
50%
13°C
$5,556 Vol.
28%
14°C
$5,154 Vol.
4%
15°C
$3,191 Vol.
1%
16°C
$2,966 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$2,075 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Ensemble forecast models from Météo-France and international sources cluster daytime highs for Paris on May 14 tightly around 12–13°C, driving trader consensus to a 50.5% implied probability for 12°C amid 27.5% for 13°C.** Persistent overcast skies, showers, and a dominant low-pressure system over northern France—evident in the past 48 hours' hourly observations—have suppressed temperatures well below mid-May seasonal norms of 18–20°C, following a modest 16°C peak on May 12. Brief cloud breaks could nudge readings higher, but current wind patterns from the northwest reinforce cool, moist conditions. Traders eye hourly station data and final Météo-France advisories through evening for resolution, as inherent forecast uncertainty lingers in variable spring weather patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$62,413End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Ensemble forecast models from Météo-France and international sources cluster daytime highs for Paris on May 14 tightly around 12–13°C, driving trader consensus to a 50.5% implied probability for 12°C amid 27.5% for 13°C.** Persistent overcast skies, showers, and a dominant low-pressure system over northern France—evident in the past 48 hours' hourly observations—have suppressed temperatures well below mid-May seasonal norms of 18–20°C, following a modest 16°C peak on May 12. Brief cloud breaks could nudge readings higher, but current wind patterns from the northwest reinforce cool, moist conditions. Traders eye hourly station data and final Météo-France advisories through evening for resolution, as inherent forecast uncertainty lingers in variable spring weather patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$62,413End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ensemble forecast models from Météo-France and international sources cluster daytime highs for Paris on May 14 tightly around 12–13°C, driving trader consensus to a 50.5% implied probability for 12°C amid 27.5% for 13°C.** Persistent overcast skies, showers, and a dominant low-pressure system over northern France—evident in the past 48 hours' hourly observations—have suppressed temperatures well below mid-May seasonal norms of 18–20°C, following a modest 16°C peak on May 12. Brief cloud breaks could nudge readings higher, but current wind patterns from the northwest reinforce cool, moist conditions. Traders eye hourly station data and final Météo-France advisories through evening for resolution, as inherent forecast uncertainty lingers in variable spring weather patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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