Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 94-95°F as Miami International Airport's (KMIA) highest temperature on May 13, 2026, directly reflecting the official National Weather Service (NWS) observational data from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at the station, which recorded the peak in that precise range. This positioning stems from a dominant upper-level ridge of high pressure over Florida, suppressing clouds and convection while promoting adiabatic heating and low humidity—conditions evident in NOAA forecast models like the GFS and ECMWF that projected highs near 94°F amid climatologically warm May patterns (normal 86°F, record 94°F). Minimal sea breeze influence further aided inland heat buildup. Resolution is effectively locked, with challenges limited to rare NWS data audits uncovering sensor errors, an improbable scenario given validated reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on May 13?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 13?
$131,719 Vol.
$131,719 Vol.
94-95°F
100%
96°F or higher
<1%
$131,719 Vol.
$131,719 Vol.
94-95°F
100%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 94-95°F as Miami International Airport's (KMIA) highest temperature on May 13, 2026, directly reflecting the official National Weather Service (NWS) observational data from the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at the station, which recorded the peak in that precise range. This positioning stems from a dominant upper-level ridge of high pressure over Florida, suppressing clouds and convection while promoting adiabatic heating and low humidity—conditions evident in NOAA forecast models like the GFS and ECMWF that projected highs near 94°F amid climatologically warm May patterns (normal 86°F, record 94°F). Minimal sea breeze influence further aided inland heat buildup. Resolution is effectively locked, with challenges limited to rare NWS data audits uncovering sensor errors, an improbable scenario given validated reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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