BMKG's latest short-range forecast for May 15 projects light rain across greater Jakarta with daytime temperature ranges of 24–30°C and high humidity (70–97%), capping solar insolation and favoring outcomes at or below 30°C, yet traders price 33°C highest at 36% implied probability versus 32°C at 27.5%, driven by recent overperformance like May 13's 34°C peak at Halim Perdanakusuma station amid urban heat island effects and dry-season onset dynamics. AccuWeather aligns closer to market leaders with a 32°C high under partly cloudy skies and afternoon thunderstorms, highlighting model spread in GFS/ECMWF runs where sea breeze timing and cloud cover introduce uncertainty differentiating 32–34°C scenarios; final Halim observations will resolve amid evolving conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 15?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 15?
33°C 38%
32°C 26%
34°C 16%
31°C 13.1%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
8%
31°C
13%
32°C
26%
33°C
38%
34°C
16%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
32°C 26%
34°C 16%
31°C 13.1%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
8%
31°C
13%
32°C
26%
33°C
38%
34°C
16%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...BMKG's latest short-range forecast for May 15 projects light rain across greater Jakarta with daytime temperature ranges of 24–30°C and high humidity (70–97%), capping solar insolation and favoring outcomes at or below 30°C, yet traders price 33°C highest at 36% implied probability versus 32°C at 27.5%, driven by recent overperformance like May 13's 34°C peak at Halim Perdanakusuma station amid urban heat island effects and dry-season onset dynamics. AccuWeather aligns closer to market leaders with a 32°C high under partly cloudy skies and afternoon thunderstorms, highlighting model spread in GFS/ECMWF runs where sea breeze timing and cloud cover introduce uncertainty differentiating 32–34°C scenarios; final Halim observations will resolve amid evolving conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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