Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 17°C (32%) and 18°C (27%) as Helsinki's highest temperature at Vantaa Airport on May 15, reflecting slight optimism beyond the Finnish Meteorological Institute's baseline forecast of 16°C amid partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds. Recent observations show warmer-than-average highs, including 18°C implied for May 13, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild Atlantic air, boosting confidence in above-climatological outcomes (historical mid-May average ~15.5°C). Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS indicate 15–19°C range due to uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; new 12-hourly updates tomorrow could refine odds as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
17°C 31%
18°C 25%
16°C 18.5%
15°C 8.8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
9%
16°C
19%
17°C
31%
18°C
25%
19°C
7%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 31%
18°C 25%
16°C 18.5%
15°C 8.8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
9%
16°C
19%
17°C
31%
18°C
25%
19°C
7%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 17°C (32%) and 18°C (27%) as Helsinki's highest temperature at Vantaa Airport on May 15, reflecting slight optimism beyond the Finnish Meteorological Institute's baseline forecast of 16°C amid partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds. Recent observations show warmer-than-average highs, including 18°C implied for May 13, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild Atlantic air, boosting confidence in above-climatological outcomes (historical mid-May average ~15.5°C). Ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS indicate 15–19°C range due to uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; new 12-hourly updates tomorrow could refine odds as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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