MetService's morning forecast update projects Wellington's highest temperature on May 14 at 15°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 91% implied probability amid southerly winds ushering cool maritime air and scattered cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Current observations from Wellington Airport align closely, with temperatures peaking in the low teens so far under steady 15-20 km/h gusts, consistent with ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicating limited intensification potential. This positioning reflects mid-May climatology, where average highs hover around 14-15°C. Upside risks to 16°C+ would require abrupt wind easing and clearer skies for enhanced insolation, while downside to 14°C or below could stem from heavier showers; both scenarios remain low-probability given stable high-pressure influence, with final hourly data expected to resolve the market by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on May 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14?
15°C 97.0%
16°C 5.6%
17°C <1%
18°C or higher <1%
NEW
$47,744 Vol.
NEW
$47,744 Vol.
May 14, 2026
15°C
97%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
15°C 97.0%
16°C 5.6%
17°C <1%
18°C or higher <1%
NEW
$47,744 Vol.
NEW
$47,744 Vol.
May 14, 2026
15°C
$3,880 Vol.
97%
16°C
$3,980 Vol.
6%
17°C
$3,463 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$5,639 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's morning forecast update projects Wellington's highest temperature on May 14 at 15°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 91% implied probability amid southerly winds ushering cool maritime air and scattered cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Current observations from Wellington Airport align closely, with temperatures peaking in the low teens so far under steady 15-20 km/h gusts, consistent with ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicating limited intensification potential. This positioning reflects mid-May climatology, where average highs hover around 14-15°C. Upside risks to 16°C+ would require abrupt wind easing and clearer skies for enhanced insolation, while downside to 14°C or below could stem from heavier showers; both scenarios remain low-probability given stable high-pressure influence, with final hourly data expected to resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$47,744End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's morning forecast update projects Wellington's highest temperature on May 14 at 15°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 91% implied probability amid southerly winds ushering cool maritime air and scattered cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Current observations from Wellington Airport align closely, with temperatures peaking in the low teens so far under steady 15-20 km/h gusts, consistent with ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicating limited intensification potential. This positioning reflects mid-May climatology, where average highs hover around 14-15°C. Upside risks to 16°C+ would require abrupt wind easing and clearer skies for enhanced insolation, while downside to 14°C or below could stem from heavier showers; both scenarios remain low-probability given stable high-pressure influence, with final hourly data expected to resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$47,744End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's morning forecast update projects Wellington's highest temperature on May 14 at 15°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 91% implied probability amid southerly winds ushering cool maritime air and scattered cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Current observations from Wellington Airport align closely, with temperatures peaking in the low teens so far under steady 15-20 km/h gusts, consistent with ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicating limited intensification potential. This positioning reflects mid-May climatology, where average highs hover around 14-15°C. Upside risks to 16°C+ would require abrupt wind easing and clearer skies for enhanced insolation, while downside to 14°C or below could stem from heavier showers; both scenarios remain low-probability given stable high-pressure influence, with final hourly data expected to resolve the market by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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