National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, the primary observation site, project a high temperature near 91°F on May 14 under mostly sunny skies and south winds of 5-15 mph, driving trader-implied odds to 99.7% for 80°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles on a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry conditions, consistent with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures amid ongoing drought. May 14 climatological normal is 84°F, with historical highs reaching 95°F, underscoring the reliability of current guidance. Realistic challenges include unforecasted afternoon convection or increased cloud cover, though rain chances remain below 10%; hourly observations and late-day updates could refine this further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on May 14?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 14?
80°F or higher 99.6%
78-79°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
61°F or below <1%
$58,468 Vol.
$58,468 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
100%
80°F or higher 99.6%
78-79°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
61°F or below <1%
$58,468 Vol.
$58,468 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, the primary observation site, project a high temperature near 91°F on May 14 under mostly sunny skies and south winds of 5-15 mph, driving trader-implied odds to 99.7% for 80°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles on a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry conditions, consistent with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures amid ongoing drought. May 14 climatological normal is 84°F, with historical highs reaching 95°F, underscoring the reliability of current guidance. Realistic challenges include unforecasted afternoon convection or increased cloud cover, though rain chances remain below 10%; hourly observations and late-day updates could refine this further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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