Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (41%) and 13°C (33%) as London's highest temperature on May 14, driven by the UK Met Office's latest evening update on May 13 forecasting a daytime peak of 13-14°C in central London under persistent cloud cover and light showers from a cool northerly airflow. BBC Weather aligns closely with a 13°C maximum amid gentle breezes and scattered precipitation, while Heathrow observations (often the resolution source) suggest 13°C. Differentiating factors include hourly model runs showing peaks of 12-13°C around mid-afternoon, with uncertainty from variable shower timing—prolonged cloud could cap at 12°C, brief breaks allowing 13°C—against May climatological averages near 17°C. Real-time observations and afternoon updates will sharpen resolution as solar heating contends with instability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on May 14?
Highest temperature in London on May 14?
12°C 40%
13°C 34%
14°C 15%
11°C 10.5%
NEW
$93,216 Vol.
NEW
$93,216 Vol.
May 14, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
11%
12°C
40%
13°C
34%
14°C
15%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 40%
13°C 34%
14°C 15%
11°C 10.5%
NEW
$93,216 Vol.
NEW
$93,216 Vol.
May 14, 2026
7°C or below
$5,152 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$4,016 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$14,486 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$14,189 Vol.
2%
11°C
$8,153 Vol.
11%
12°C
$6,293 Vol.
40%
13°C
$7,871 Vol.
34%
14°C
$9,434 Vol.
15%
15°C
$10,644 Vol.
4%
16°C
$7,651 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$5,544 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (41%) and 13°C (33%) as London's highest temperature on May 14, driven by the UK Met Office's latest evening update on May 13 forecasting a daytime peak of 13-14°C in central London under persistent cloud cover and light showers from a cool northerly airflow. BBC Weather aligns closely with a 13°C maximum amid gentle breezes and scattered precipitation, while Heathrow observations (often the resolution source) suggest 13°C. Differentiating factors include hourly model runs showing peaks of 12-13°C around mid-afternoon, with uncertainty from variable shower timing—prolonged cloud could cap at 12°C, brief breaks allowing 13°C—against May climatological averages near 17°C. Real-time observations and afternoon updates will sharpen resolution as solar heating contends with instability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$93,216End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (41%) and 13°C (33%) as London's highest temperature on May 14, driven by the UK Met Office's latest evening update on May 13 forecasting a daytime peak of 13-14°C in central London under persistent cloud cover and light showers from a cool northerly airflow. BBC Weather aligns closely with a 13°C maximum amid gentle breezes and scattered precipitation, while Heathrow observations (often the resolution source) suggest 13°C. Differentiating factors include hourly model runs showing peaks of 12-13°C around mid-afternoon, with uncertainty from variable shower timing—prolonged cloud could cap at 12°C, brief breaks allowing 13°C—against May climatological averages near 17°C. Real-time observations and afternoon updates will sharpen resolution as solar heating contends with instability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$93,216End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 12°C (41%) and 13°C (33%) as London's highest temperature on May 14, driven by the UK Met Office's latest evening update on May 13 forecasting a daytime peak of 13-14°C in central London under persistent cloud cover and light showers from a cool northerly airflow. BBC Weather aligns closely with a 13°C maximum amid gentle breezes and scattered precipitation, while Heathrow observations (often the resolution source) suggest 13°C. Differentiating factors include hourly model runs showing peaks of 12-13°C around mid-afternoon, with uncertainty from variable shower timing—prolonged cloud could cap at 12°C, brief breaks allowing 13°C—against May climatological averages near 17°C. Real-time observations and afternoon updates will sharpen resolution as solar heating contends with instability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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