Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on June 10 indicate clear skies with maximum temperatures around 41°C, aligning with typical pre-monsoon conditions and historical June averages near 39–40°C. Ensemble model guidance and recent observational trends from the past week show limited intensification potential due to increasing humidity and possible scattered cloud development ahead of the monsoon onset, keeping most scenarios in the 39–42°C range. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40% probability on 39°C or below and 26% on exactly 40°C, incorporates this forecast consensus alongside uncertainty from local wind patterns and any last-minute model revisions. Upcoming IMD updates and satellite observations over the next 24 hours represent key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 10?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 10?
39°C or below 38%
40°C 26%
41°C 18%
42°C 9%
NEW
$11,614 Vol.
NEW
$11,614 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
39°C or below
38%
40°C
26%
41°C
18%
42°C
9%
43°C
4%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C or higher
<1%
39°C or below 38%
40°C 26%
41°C 18%
42°C 9%
NEW
$11,614 Vol.
NEW
$11,614 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
39°C or below
$1,444 Vol.
38%
40°C
$312 Vol.
26%
41°C
$788 Vol.
18%
42°C
$811 Vol.
9%
43°C
$978 Vol.
4%
44°C
$1,290 Vol.
1%
45°C
$872 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$2,213 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$763 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$1,709 Vol.
<1%
49°C or higher
$449 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on June 10 indicate clear skies with maximum temperatures around 41°C, aligning with typical pre-monsoon conditions and historical June averages near 39–40°C. Ensemble model guidance and recent observational trends from the past week show limited intensification potential due to increasing humidity and possible scattered cloud development ahead of the monsoon onset, keeping most scenarios in the 39–42°C range. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40% probability on 39°C or below and 26% on exactly 40°C, incorporates this forecast consensus alongside uncertainty from local wind patterns and any last-minute model revisions. Upcoming IMD updates and satellite observations over the next 24 hours represent key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$11,614End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on June 10 indicate clear skies with maximum temperatures around 41°C, aligning with typical pre-monsoon conditions and historical June averages near 39–40°C. Ensemble model guidance and recent observational trends from the past week show limited intensification potential due to increasing humidity and possible scattered cloud development ahead of the monsoon onset, keeping most scenarios in the 39–42°C range. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40% probability on 39°C or below and 26% on exactly 40°C, incorporates this forecast consensus alongside uncertainty from local wind patterns and any last-minute model revisions. Upcoming IMD updates and satellite observations over the next 24 hours represent key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,614End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow on June 10 indicate clear skies with maximum temperatures around 41°C, aligning with typical pre-monsoon conditions and historical June averages near 39–40°C. Ensemble model guidance and recent observational trends from the past week show limited intensification potential due to increasing humidity and possible scattered cloud development ahead of the monsoon onset, keeping most scenarios in the 39–42°C range. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40% probability on 39°C or below and 26% on exactly 40°C, incorporates this forecast consensus alongside uncertainty from local wind patterns and any last-minute model revisions. Upcoming IMD updates and satellite observations over the next 24 hours represent key data points that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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