Forecast models from the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles show considerable spread for Lucknow's June 11 maximum, with guidance clustered between 35–38 °C amid above-normal temperatures and building monsoon moisture. Recent observations indicate surface highs near 40 °C, but increasing low-level humidity, variable winds, and potential afternoon convection could cap peak readings or allow brief clearing that pushes values higher. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 35–37 °C reflects this forecast uncertainty and the narrow historical range for early-June maxima before widespread monsoon onset typically moderates conditions. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 11?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 11?
35°C 27%
36°C 24%
34°C 16%
37°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
33°C or below
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
27%
36°C
24%
37°C
15%
38°C
8%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
35°C 27%
36°C 24%
34°C 16%
37°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
33°C or below
$237 Vol.
4%
34°C
$113 Vol.
16%
35°C
$93 Vol.
27%
36°C
$122 Vol.
24%
37°C
$43 Vol.
15%
38°C
$27 Vol.
8%
39°C
$140 Vol.
4%
40°C
$84 Vol.
2%
41°C
$877 Vol.
1%
42°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles show considerable spread for Lucknow's June 11 maximum, with guidance clustered between 35–38 °C amid above-normal temperatures and building monsoon moisture. Recent observations indicate surface highs near 40 °C, but increasing low-level humidity, variable winds, and potential afternoon convection could cap peak readings or allow brief clearing that pushes values higher. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 35–37 °C reflects this forecast uncertainty and the narrow historical range for early-June maxima before widespread monsoon onset typically moderates conditions. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,749End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles show considerable spread for Lucknow's June 11 maximum, with guidance clustered between 35–38 °C amid above-normal temperatures and building monsoon moisture. Recent observations indicate surface highs near 40 °C, but increasing low-level humidity, variable winds, and potential afternoon convection could cap peak readings or allow brief clearing that pushes values higher. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 35–37 °C reflects this forecast uncertainty and the narrow historical range for early-June maxima before widespread monsoon onset typically moderates conditions. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,749End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the India Meteorological Department and global ensembles show considerable spread for Lucknow's June 11 maximum, with guidance clustered between 35–38 °C amid above-normal temperatures and building monsoon moisture. Recent observations indicate surface highs near 40 °C, but increasing low-level humidity, variable winds, and potential afternoon convection could cap peak readings or allow brief clearing that pushes values higher. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 35–37 °C reflects this forecast uncertainty and the narrow historical range for early-June maxima before widespread monsoon onset typically moderates conditions. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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