Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 56% implied probability to a high of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts indicating persistent marine layer stratus clouds 3,000-4,000 feet deep along the coast, capping daytime heating under "May Gray" conditions. Onshore winds of 5-10 mph and cool sea surface temperatures maintain below-normal temperatures, with yesterday's high around 68°F amid similar low-cloud cover. A 32% chance for 70°F or higher reflects potential partial clearing by afternoon if the inversion lifts, per model consensus, while 22% on 66-67°F accounts for slower burn-off scenarios. New hourly observations and evening updates from NOAA could shift odds as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 14?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 14?
68-69°F 49%
70°F or higher 38%
66-67°F 21%
64-65°F 2.3%
$22,650 Vol.
$22,650 Vol.
51°F or below
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
49%
70°F or higher
38%
68-69°F 49%
70°F or higher 38%
66-67°F 21%
64-65°F 2.3%
$22,650 Vol.
$22,650 Vol.
51°F or below
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
49%
70°F or higher
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 56% implied probability to a high of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts indicating persistent marine layer stratus clouds 3,000-4,000 feet deep along the coast, capping daytime heating under "May Gray" conditions. Onshore winds of 5-10 mph and cool sea surface temperatures maintain below-normal temperatures, with yesterday's high around 68°F amid similar low-cloud cover. A 32% chance for 70°F or higher reflects potential partial clearing by afternoon if the inversion lifts, per model consensus, while 22% on 66-67°F accounts for slower burn-off scenarios. New hourly observations and evening updates from NOAA could shift odds as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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