Latest short-range forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models project a daytime high near 18-19°C in Buenos Aires on May 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched 17-20°C outcomes amid typical mid-autumn cooling trends. Differentiating factors include variability in cloud cover reducing solar insolation, potential sea breeze moderation from the Río de la Plata, and light southerly winds limiting diurnal warming, with urban heat island effects at the official Ezeiza Airport station adding ~1°C. Historical May 15 highs average 18°C with a 2-3°C standard deviation, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty; new SMN updates and 00z model runs expected overnight could refine the peak temperature trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 15?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 15?
19°C 31%
18°C 28%
17°C 15%
20°C 14%
NEW
NEW
May 15, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
15%
18°C
28%
19°C
31%
20°C
14%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
19°C 31%
18°C 28%
17°C 15%
20°C 14%
NEW
NEW
May 15, 2026
12°C or below
$436 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$858 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$435 Vol.
1%
15°C
$148 Vol.
1%
16°C
$630 Vol.
9%
17°C
$171 Vol.
15%
18°C
$145 Vol.
28%
19°C
$110 Vol.
31%
20°C
$247 Vol.
14%
21°C
$555 Vol.
3%
22°C or higher
$130 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models project a daytime high near 18-19°C in Buenos Aires on May 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched 17-20°C outcomes amid typical mid-autumn cooling trends. Differentiating factors include variability in cloud cover reducing solar insolation, potential sea breeze moderation from the Río de la Plata, and light southerly winds limiting diurnal warming, with urban heat island effects at the official Ezeiza Airport station adding ~1°C. Historical May 15 highs average 18°C with a 2-3°C standard deviation, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty; new SMN updates and 00z model runs expected overnight could refine the peak temperature trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$3,866End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models project a daytime high near 18-19°C in Buenos Aires on May 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched 17-20°C outcomes amid typical mid-autumn cooling trends. Differentiating factors include variability in cloud cover reducing solar insolation, potential sea breeze moderation from the Río de la Plata, and light southerly winds limiting diurnal warming, with urban heat island effects at the official Ezeiza Airport station adding ~1°C. Historical May 15 highs average 18°C with a 2-3°C standard deviation, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty; new SMN updates and 00z model runs expected overnight could refine the peak temperature trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,866End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models project a daytime high near 18-19°C in Buenos Aires on May 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched 17-20°C outcomes amid typical mid-autumn cooling trends. Differentiating factors include variability in cloud cover reducing solar insolation, potential sea breeze moderation from the Río de la Plata, and light southerly winds limiting diurnal warming, with urban heat island effects at the official Ezeiza Airport station adding ~1°C. Historical May 15 highs average 18°C with a 2-3°C standard deviation, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty; new SMN updates and 00z model runs expected overnight could refine the peak temperature trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions