Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (34.5%) and 18°C (31.0%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature today, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range weather forecasts amid variable cloud cover and light southerly winds. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) models project a peak around 17–18°C following a recent cool spell through early May, with morning lows near 10–12°C and partial solar heating under stable high-pressure influence. Differentiating factors include potential for increased low-level clouds suppressing 16°C outcomes (17.3%) or clearer skies boosting 19°C (11.0%); historical mid-May averages hover at 17°C, but urban heat island effects in the city center could nudge higher. Watch SMN hourly updates and Ezeiza Airport observations through mid-afternoon for resolution-defining peaks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 14?
17°C 33%
18°C 32%
16°C 17.5%
19°C 11%
$11,143 Vol.
$11,143 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
18%
17°C
33%
18°C
32%
19°C
11%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 33%
18°C 32%
16°C 17.5%
19°C 11%
$11,143 Vol.
$11,143 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
18%
17°C
33%
18°C
32%
19°C
11%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (34.5%) and 18°C (31.0%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature today, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range weather forecasts amid variable cloud cover and light southerly winds. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) models project a peak around 17–18°C following a recent cool spell through early May, with morning lows near 10–12°C and partial solar heating under stable high-pressure influence. Differentiating factors include potential for increased low-level clouds suppressing 16°C outcomes (17.3%) or clearer skies boosting 19°C (11.0%); historical mid-May averages hover at 17°C, but urban heat island effects in the city center could nudge higher. Watch SMN hourly updates and Ezeiza Airport observations through mid-afternoon for resolution-defining peaks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions