Forecast models from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles indicate a typical early-winter air mass over Buenos Aires on June 10, supporting daytime highs near the seasonal average of 15°C with light winds and variable cloud cover. This consensus positions 15°C as the leading market outcome at 53% implied probability, followed by 14°C and 16°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of limited deviation potential absent strong advection or frontal systems. Historical June climatology shows average highs of 14–16°C, with recent observations from early June confirming similar mild conditions under stable southerly flow. Updated morning observations and final official readings will determine resolution within the narrow probability bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 10?
15°C 53%
14°C 24%
16°C 22%
13°C 2.4%
$10,245 Vol.
$10,245 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
24%
15°C
53%
16°C
22%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 53%
14°C 24%
16°C 22%
13°C 2.4%
$10,245 Vol.
$10,245 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
24%
15°C
53%
16°C
22%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles indicate a typical early-winter air mass over Buenos Aires on June 10, supporting daytime highs near the seasonal average of 15°C with light winds and variable cloud cover. This consensus positions 15°C as the leading market outcome at 53% implied probability, followed by 14°C and 16°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of limited deviation potential absent strong advection or frontal systems. Historical June climatology shows average highs of 14–16°C, with recent observations from early June confirming similar mild conditions under stable southerly flow. Updated morning observations and final official readings will determine resolution within the narrow probability bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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