Official forecasts for Miami on June 10 project a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s, consistent with early June climatology where average highs reach 85–86°F amid high humidity and frequent sea-breeze convection. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate peak temperatures near 86°F, with afternoon heating potentially pushing readings a degree or two higher if skies remain mostly sunny and showers develop later than typical. The near-even split in market-implied odds between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins reflects model uncertainty around exact peak timing and the moderating influence of moisture and coastal winds, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on stronger storms or clearer conditions altering the diurnal curve. Updated model runs and the final NWS point forecast issued overnight will provide the clearest signals before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on June 10?
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 38%
90-91°F 8.4%
84-85°F 8%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
44%
88-89°F
38%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 38%
90-91°F 8.4%
84-85°F 8%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
44%
88-89°F
38%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Miami on June 10 project a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s, consistent with early June climatology where average highs reach 85–86°F amid high humidity and frequent sea-breeze convection. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate peak temperatures near 86°F, with afternoon heating potentially pushing readings a degree or two higher if skies remain mostly sunny and showers develop later than typical. The near-even split in market-implied odds between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins reflects model uncertainty around exact peak timing and the moderating influence of moisture and coastal winds, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on stronger storms or clearer conditions altering the diurnal curve. Updated model runs and the final NWS point forecast issued overnight will provide the clearest signals before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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