Current National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on June 10 point to a high near 92–93°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 48 percent implied probability. This reflects typical early-June climatology, when daily highs climb from the low 90s toward mid-90s amid strengthening solar heating and minimal cloud cover or moisture. Recent model consensus shows limited variability from weak upper-level ridging, with no significant frontal passages or tropical moisture expected to suppress temperatures. Traders are pricing in a modest chance of 94–95°F if afternoon mixing strengthens, while lower bins remain unlikely given the established warm baseline and absence of cooler advection.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on June 10?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 10?
92-93°F 50%
90-91°F 22%
94-95°F 16%
88-89°F 2.0%
NEW
$10,975 Vol.
NEW
$10,975 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
22%
92-93°F
50%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 50%
90-91°F 22%
94-95°F 16%
88-89°F 2.0%
NEW
$10,975 Vol.
NEW
$10,975 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
83°F or below
$2,332 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$580 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$628 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$1,607 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$712 Vol.
22%
92-93°F
$1,605 Vol.
50%
94-95°F
$664 Vol.
16%
96-97°F
$2,035 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$510 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$522 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$222 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on June 10 point to a high near 92–93°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 48 percent implied probability. This reflects typical early-June climatology, when daily highs climb from the low 90s toward mid-90s amid strengthening solar heating and minimal cloud cover or moisture. Recent model consensus shows limited variability from weak upper-level ridging, with no significant frontal passages or tropical moisture expected to suppress temperatures. Traders are pricing in a modest chance of 94–95°F if afternoon mixing strengthens, while lower bins remain unlikely given the established warm baseline and absence of cooler advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 10:04 PM ET
Volume
$10,975End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on June 10 point to a high near 92–93°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 48 percent implied probability. This reflects typical early-June climatology, when daily highs climb from the low 90s toward mid-90s amid strengthening solar heating and minimal cloud cover or moisture. Recent model consensus shows limited variability from weak upper-level ridging, with no significant frontal passages or tropical moisture expected to suppress temperatures. Traders are pricing in a modest chance of 94–95°F if afternoon mixing strengthens, while lower bins remain unlikely given the established warm baseline and absence of cooler advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,975End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on June 10 point to a high near 92–93°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 48 percent implied probability. This reflects typical early-June climatology, when daily highs climb from the low 90s toward mid-90s amid strengthening solar heating and minimal cloud cover or moisture. Recent model consensus shows limited variability from weak upper-level ridging, with no significant frontal passages or tropical moisture expected to suppress temperatures. Traders are pricing in a modest chance of 94–95°F if afternoon mixing strengthens, while lower bins remain unlikely given the established warm baseline and absence of cooler advection.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions