Latest Météo-France forecasts indicate mild conditions for Paris on May 1 under a high-pressure ridge, with daytime highs near 24°C and overnight temperatures dropping to around 17°C, but ensemble models like those from meteoblue suggest a daily minimum closer to 12°C amid clear skies and light winds conducive to radiative cooling. This positions 10°C (35.5% implied probability) as trader consensus frontrunner, reflecting potential for stronger nocturnal inversions and urban heat island moderation at official stations, followed by 11°C (19.5%) and 12°C (17.5%). Recent April 30 observations logged an above-normal night low of 16°C (versus 12°C climatology), yet historical early-May minima averaging 9°C underpin the focus on these outcomes. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs overnight may shift probabilities further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 1 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 1 de mayo?
10°C 49%
11°C 34%
12°C 12%
14°C o más 9.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
4°C o menos
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
8%
10°C
26%
11°C
21%
12°C
19%
13°C
8%
14°C o más
9%
10°C 49%
11°C 34%
12°C 12%
14°C o más 9.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 may 2026
4°C o menos
$103 Vol.
1%
5°C
$88 Vol.
1%
6°C
$308 Vol.
1%
7°C
$88 Vol.
1%
8°C
$435 Vol.
1%
9°C
$123 Vol.
8%
10°C
$94 Vol.
26%
11°C
$195 Vol.
21%
12°C
$75 Vol.
19%
13°C
$331 Vol.
8%
14°C o más
$874 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts indicate mild conditions for Paris on May 1 under a high-pressure ridge, with daytime highs near 24°C and overnight temperatures dropping to around 17°C, but ensemble models like those from meteoblue suggest a daily minimum closer to 12°C amid clear skies and light winds conducive to radiative cooling. This positions 10°C (35.5% implied probability) as trader consensus frontrunner, reflecting potential for stronger nocturnal inversions and urban heat island moderation at official stations, followed by 11°C (19.5%) and 12°C (17.5%). Recent April 30 observations logged an above-normal night low of 16°C (versus 12°C climatology), yet historical early-May minima averaging 9°C underpin the focus on these outcomes. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs overnight may shift probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$2,714Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts indicate mild conditions for Paris on May 1 under a high-pressure ridge, with daytime highs near 24°C and overnight temperatures dropping to around 17°C, but ensemble models like those from meteoblue suggest a daily minimum closer to 12°C amid clear skies and light winds conducive to radiative cooling. This positions 10°C (35.5% implied probability) as trader consensus frontrunner, reflecting potential for stronger nocturnal inversions and urban heat island moderation at official stations, followed by 11°C (19.5%) and 12°C (17.5%). Recent April 30 observations logged an above-normal night low of 16°C (versus 12°C climatology), yet historical early-May minima averaging 9°C underpin the focus on these outcomes. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs overnight may shift probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,714Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France forecasts indicate mild conditions for Paris on May 1 under a high-pressure ridge, with daytime highs near 24°C and overnight temperatures dropping to around 17°C, but ensemble models like those from meteoblue suggest a daily minimum closer to 12°C amid clear skies and light winds conducive to radiative cooling. This positions 10°C (35.5% implied probability) as trader consensus frontrunner, reflecting potential for stronger nocturnal inversions and urban heat island moderation at official stations, followed by 11°C (19.5%) and 12°C (17.5%). Recent April 30 observations logged an above-normal night low of 16°C (versus 12°C climatology), yet historical early-May minima averaging 9°C underpin the focus on these outcomes. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs overnight may shift probabilities further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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