Météo-France's latest short-range forecasts and ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS project a daily low temperature of around 10-12°C at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 1, under a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light winds that enhance radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with climatological May norms for Paris, where minimums average 9-10°C, driving trader consensus to 99.5% implied probability on the 10°C outcome as real-money bets reflect strong model agreement. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective clouds from afternoon thunderstorms spilling over to limit cooling, or stronger southerly winds mixing warmer air, potentially pushing the low toward 12-13°C; final observations from the official station will resolve the market by day's end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 1 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 1 de mayo?
10°C 99.5%
4°C o menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$7,285 Vol.
$7,285 Vol.
1 may 2026
4°C o menos
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
100%
10°C 99.5%
4°C o menos <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$7,285 Vol.
$7,285 Vol.
1 may 2026
4°C o menos
$294 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$275 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$578 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$643 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,488 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest short-range forecasts and ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS project a daily low temperature of around 10-12°C at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 1, under a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light winds that enhance radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with climatological May norms for Paris, where minimums average 9-10°C, driving trader consensus to 99.5% implied probability on the 10°C outcome as real-money bets reflect strong model agreement. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective clouds from afternoon thunderstorms spilling over to limit cooling, or stronger southerly winds mixing warmer air, potentially pushing the low toward 12-13°C; final observations from the official station will resolve the market by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$7,285Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest short-range forecasts and ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS project a daily low temperature of around 10-12°C at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 1, under a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light winds that enhance radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with climatological May norms for Paris, where minimums average 9-10°C, driving trader consensus to 99.5% implied probability on the 10°C outcome as real-money bets reflect strong model agreement. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective clouds from afternoon thunderstorms spilling over to limit cooling, or stronger southerly winds mixing warmer air, potentially pushing the low toward 12-13°C; final observations from the official station will resolve the market by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,285Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo-France's latest short-range forecasts and ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS project a daily low temperature of around 10-12°C at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 1, under a high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and light winds that enhance radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with climatological May norms for Paris, where minimums average 9-10°C, driving trader consensus to 99.5% implied probability on the 10°C outcome as real-money bets reflect strong model agreement. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective clouds from afternoon thunderstorms spilling over to limit cooling, or stronger southerly winds mixing warmer air, potentially pushing the low toward 12-13°C; final observations from the official station will resolve the market by day's end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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