Latest Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS position trader consensus around a 13–14°C minimum temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station on May 2, driven by weakening high pressure allowing partly cloudy skies and light showers that temper radiative cooling after recent clear nights with 11–13°C lows despite April 30 highs near 23°C. Mild Atlantic flow introduces warmer advection, countering historical early-May baselines of 8–12°C, while urban heat island effects at the airport moderate deeper chills. With 14°C at 49% implied probability and 13°C at 33%, markets reflect short-range uncertainty from divergent model runs; daily updates expected through May 1 could refine cloud cover and wind shear impacts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 2 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 2 de mayo?
13°C 34%
15°C 27%
12°C 25%
16°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
9°C o menos
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
5%
12°C
25%
13°C
34%
14°C
50%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
8%
18°C
<1%
19°C o más
<1%
13°C 34%
15°C 27%
12°C 25%
16°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
9°C o menos
$66 Vol.
1%
10°C
$62 Vol.
2%
11°C
$22 Vol.
5%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$4 Vol.
34%
14°C
$359 Vol.
50%
15°C
$43 Vol.
27%
16°C
$82 Vol.
26%
17°C
$140 Vol.
8%
18°C
$328 Vol.
<1%
19°C o más
$1,001 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS position trader consensus around a 13–14°C minimum temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station on May 2, driven by weakening high pressure allowing partly cloudy skies and light showers that temper radiative cooling after recent clear nights with 11–13°C lows despite April 30 highs near 23°C. Mild Atlantic flow introduces warmer advection, countering historical early-May baselines of 8–12°C, while urban heat island effects at the airport moderate deeper chills. With 14°C at 49% implied probability and 13°C at 33%, markets reflect short-range uncertainty from divergent model runs; daily updates expected through May 1 could refine cloud cover and wind shear impacts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$2,108Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS position trader consensus around a 13–14°C minimum temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station on May 2, driven by weakening high pressure allowing partly cloudy skies and light showers that temper radiative cooling after recent clear nights with 11–13°C lows despite April 30 highs near 23°C. Mild Atlantic flow introduces warmer advection, countering historical early-May baselines of 8–12°C, while urban heat island effects at the airport moderate deeper chills. With 14°C at 49% implied probability and 13°C at 33%, markets reflect short-range uncertainty from divergent model runs; daily updates expected through May 1 could refine cloud cover and wind shear impacts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,108Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model outputs from ECMWF and GFS position trader consensus around a 13–14°C minimum temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station on May 2, driven by weakening high pressure allowing partly cloudy skies and light showers that temper radiative cooling after recent clear nights with 11–13°C lows despite April 30 highs near 23°C. Mild Atlantic flow introduces warmer advection, countering historical early-May baselines of 8–12°C, while urban heat island effects at the airport moderate deeper chills. With 14°C at 49% implied probability and 13°C at 33%, markets reflect short-range uncertainty from divergent model runs; daily updates expected through May 1 could refine cloud cover and wind shear impacts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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